ATL: HENRI - Models
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
Seems were posting horror stories I present NCEP Hires, center over NYC.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
How about that Euro, better late than never. Definitely not the trend leader it used to be.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
Has the time come to put NYC under watches? That is always a tough thing to do since that affects millions of people.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
EPS are west of 6z, many tracks across NJ/NYC/LI.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
CrazyC83 wrote:Has the time come to put NYC under watches? That is always a tough thing to do since that affects millions of people.
Yes, at least for a TS Watch. It's basically at the city border already.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
Damn, and the tide cycle will be running high already this weekend because of the full moon. This could be bad people very bad if the trend verifies.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
18z ICON Virtually identical to 12z, just 1mb stronger at 986mb. (New York City landfall)
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
Predicted landfall for 18Z GFS. Hurricane winds do reach the coast.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
HMON looks to be further E LI
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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
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HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
HWRF
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
HMON
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
Of the plausible solutions this might be the best one - eastern Long Island and the stretch of coast from New London to Newport (and in fact eastern CT and western RI in general) are the least densely populated parts of the region.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
GFS doing it's best to make this a RI/MA landfall shifted ever so slightly E
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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
Re: ATL: HENRI - Models
The good news this morning is that due to the shear affecting Henri longer than thought 48 hrs ago we don't have a rapid strenghtening hurricane this morning, time is closing in on it to intensify before landfall.
Both GFS and Euro show it being a fairly small system at landfall and for most of the heavy rains to be on the western quadrant of the storm due to some dry air entrainment.
Both GFS and Euro show it being a fairly small system at landfall and for most of the heavy rains to be on the western quadrant of the storm due to some dry air entrainment.
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