ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

[Shell Mound]

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1428950714227707907

[CrazyC83]

For some reason, landfall for so many storms seems to come right at synoptic time - and that will be the case again, it looks like 0600Z will be the landfall time.

[Sciencerocks]

[ElectricStorm]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Grace Intermediate Advisory Number 31A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072021
100 AM CDT Sat Aug 21 2021

...GRACE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL SOUTH OF
TUXPAN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 97.2W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NNW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES

[Hammy]

Strongest landfall in Veracruz now I believe.

[supercane4867]

Landfall @110kt

[CrazyC83]

Strongest landfall in Veracruz now I believe.

Correct. You have to go up to Tampico to find a storm that was stronger at landfall.

[galaxy401]

Like with the Yucatan landfall (which I believe was probably 75 kts) I hope we get a good Pressure reading from Josh at the eye. The Bay of Campeche never disappoints.

[CrazyC83]

Like with the Yucatan landfall (which I believe was probably 75 kts) I hope we get a good Pressure reading from Josh at the eye. The Bay of Campeche never disappoints.

Agreed with 75 kt for Yucatan landfall based on deepening confirmed by him.

[TheDreamTraveler]

pretty interesting

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1428952866861973511

[Sciencerocks]

[Astromanía]

Strongest landfall in Mexico since Patricia 2015, interesting to me it made landfall as strong as Odile in Los Cabos 2014 and that was just horrible, I hope my compatriots in that region are ok, must be an horrible night

[Stormybajan]

We are about to have 3 hurricanes and 1 major by August 21st.

I dont think we will be hearing on a lot of season cancel posts
But I could be wrong

There is literally nothing to cancel anymore. This is quite the season so far.

People seem to be freaking out just because we had a Cat 3 in the BoC of all places in August but are forgetting that a hyperactive season like 2005 had a Cat 4 and Cat 5 in July. Even if we ignore 2005, there have been decent no. of Cat 3 and above hurricanes before August 20.

This season can get bad because of the SST in the Gulf but Grace is not an example of it. Fred had literally free time in the Gulf as well across 30-31C, and it barely managed Cat 1. Most storms this season so far have been tame compared to an actual hyperactive season. So let's just relax and be prepared, and let's not freak out because of a Cat 3 in the most favourable spots in the Gulf.

Wait what? Fred was a cat 1 Hurricane? Wasnt it 65 mph

[kevin]

Still nothing from Josh Morgerman (iCyclone) on his Twitter since Grace's landfall 8 hours ago. Hopefully it's just communication issues due to the storm. After his awfully close encounter with Dorian's wrath I'm always worried when you don't hear back from stormchasers soon.

https://twitter.com/iCyclone

[toad strangler]

Still nothing from Josh Morgerman (iCyclone) on his Twitter since Grace's landfall 8 hours ago. Hopefully it's just communication issues due to the storm. After his awfully close encounter with Dorian's wrath I'm always worried when you don't hear back from stormchasers soon.

https://twitter.com/iCyclone

I've been following Morgermann since his days on the EasternWx forums in the early 2000s. He was Hurricane Josh in those days. He almost always blacks out for a spell after landfalls. It's kinda is M.O.

[NDG]

Still nothing from Josh Morgerman (iCyclone) on his Twitter since Grace's landfall 8 hours ago. Hopefully it's just communication issues due to the storm. After his awfully close encounter with Dorian's wrath I'm always worried when you don't hear back from stormchasers soon.

https://twitter.com/iCyclone

He was in a fairly remote area with only small towns nearby, most likely cell service is down thus why he hasn't updated this morning until he drives back to the city of Veracruz which didn't get much impact.

[Hurricane Mike]

Reminds me a bit of Karl 2010.

[AnnularCane]

pretty interesting

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1428952866861973511

Even long before I knew about this (and I do mean long!), whenever a storm got into the BOC I always expected it to spin up because it just seemed like such a perfect place to do it just because of the shape of the coastline, although I probably couldn't really explain why I thought the shape had anything to do with it.

Maybe because a rounded coastline seemed like the perfect place for a storm to go all round and spinny (putting it scientifically of course).

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Reminds me a bit of Karl 2010.

Grace was nearly beat-for-beat like Karl.

[Teban54]

pretty interesting

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1428952866861973511

Even long before I knew about this (and I do mean long!), whenever a storm got into the BOC I always expected it to spin up because it just seemed like such a perfect place to do it just because of the shape of the coastline, although I probably couldn't really explain why I thought the shape had anything to do with it.

Maybe because a rounded coastline seemed like the perfect place for a storm to go all round and spinny (putting it scientifically of course).

Off-topic, but that's why the model storm that might possibly head to NW Gulf concerns me. If these models are correct, it will be approaching the coastline at an angle that's basically Grace rotated by 90 degrees, or similar to Harvey.