ATL: HENRI - Models

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Woofde
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#261 Postby Woofde » Sat Aug 21, 2021 10:34 am

12z ICON shows Henri left hooking into NYC and stalling. Rain totals end up greater than 8" in some areas.ImageImage
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#262 Postby StAuggy » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:31 am

Woofde wrote:12z ICON shows Henri left hooking into NYC and stalling. Rain totals end up greater than 8" in some areas.https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20210821/6fb1d240c8bd5735f3a483a8d6546251.jpg https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20210821/cb19c728a02725a911e2376032330e6c.jpg


An HRRR depiction had upwards of 12” of rain across portions of east central PA into NY!
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#263 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:37 am

12z GFS shifted a little back west, very similar to last night's 0z run, slightly stronger.

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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#264 Postby Kohlecane » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:41 am

Int. little stronger on these 12z runs no???
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#265 Postby funster » Sat Aug 21, 2021 1:07 pm

Models struggle when the steering currents are weak. Not sure any model is very reliable during the period shortly after landfall and before it is taken out to sea.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#266 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 21, 2021 2:46 pm

18z guidance with a decent E shift at landfall.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#267 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 21, 2021 4:49 pm

18z GFS coming in a little weaker and slight E shift at landfall compared to earlier runs.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#268 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 21, 2021 7:22 pm

For what it's worth, 18Z Euro
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#269 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 21, 2021 8:21 pm

18z HMON/HWRF decent shift E at landfall. 30-50 mile E shift.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Models

#270 Postby Kohlecane » Sun Aug 22, 2021 11:46 am

Overall I'm impressed with HWRF's runs a few days back it had 991mb into Westerly, RI
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