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Yeah to far out for specifics but the one constant forecast from the GFS/GEFS is the abundant Tropical moisture coming up from the NW Caribbean and BOC towards the Western GOM and Texas. 
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Rgv20 wrote:GFS and its Ensembles have been consistent on setting up a rainy pattern/possible tropical trouble for the Southern half of Texas starting next weekend.
And since this is so far out, this could be further north, or even nothing may happen. However, I think there will be something given the time of year. The western and northwestern Gulf is boiling right now too.
Cpv17 wrote:12z GEFS just came in with its most interesting run yet. Definitely gaining some traction that we’ll see something in the western Gulf in 7-10 days.
TheProfessor wrote:Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/pJg62Zf/gem-ir-us-41.png [/url]
A man can dream, right?
Iceresistance wrote:Whatever you do, don't look at the 8.22.2021 0z GFS model. Trust me
weatherdude1108 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Whatever you do, don't look at the 8.22.2021 0z GFS model. Trust me
Click bait
TheProfessor wrote:Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/pJg62Zf/gem-ir-us-41.png [/url]
A man can dream, right?
Iceresistance wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/pJg62Zf/gem-ir-us-41.png [/url]
A man can dream, right?
Not another 2020-2021 Winter Repeat!
Code: Select all
The main forecast challenge will be from Thursday onward. Models
continue to trend cooler and wetter into next weekend as the mid-
level ridge begins to break down, a trough digs into the PacNW and a
tropical wave/mid-level inverted trough retrogrades over the Gulf
of Mexico. Late in the week the GFS, ECMWF, and Canadian models
all have a tropical system forming in the western Caribbean and
entering the southern Gulf of Mexico sometime next weekend. This
coincides with CPC`s Moderate Confidence level of tropical cyclone
development in their week 2 Global Tropical Hazards Outlook. As
models continue to maintain the development of this system have
increased PoPs slightly for Thursday, onward. Changes in the
forecast will be likely for the later half of the period as the
potential for tropical activity increases.
Brent wrote:Iceresistance wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/pJg62Zf/gem-ir-us-41.png [/url]
A man can dream, right?
Not another 2020-2021 Winter Repeat!
A TV met up here is already saying a similar pattern
Nice winter of 50-60F temps would be great Weather Dude wrote:Brent wrote:Iceresistance wrote:
Not another 2020-2021 Winter Repeat!
A TV met up here is already saying a similar pattern
Nope I refuse to believe it will happen again.
Iceresistance wrote:Weather Dude wrote:Brent wrote:
A TV met up here is already saying a similar pattern
Nope I refuse to believe it will happen again.
I'm not sure about that, the general trend for Mild Summers are usually Earlier, Harsher, & Longer Winters . . .
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