Low Pressure 500 miles SSE of Cabo Verde Islands (Is Invest 98L)

[cycloneye]

Another area of disturbed weather has developed in association with
a low pressure system located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
more than 500 miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some
slow development will be possible over the next several days while
the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at around to
15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

[aspen]

Is that the very far south and surprisingly healthy looking wave at ~25W? The NHC page hasn’t updated for me yet.

Edit: yep it is. I was gonna point that out on the indicators thread.

[ouragans]

GENESIS025, AL, L, , , , , 77, 2021, DB, O, 2021082118, 9999999999, , 025, , , , GENESIS, , AL772021

[crownweather]

If you track the vorticity on the models, you will find that the second possible development in the W Caribbean late next week seems to be from this tropical wave.

[Teban54]

And just like that, we have 3 oranges. Can't seem to catch a break...

[aspen]

Quite a healthy wave. I'm surprised no model does anything with this yet.
https://imgur.com/gAyJp8x

[Zonacane]

Probably going to be like those early MDR systems in 2020 that weren’t even supposed to exist and develop

[ChrisH-UK]

It looks to be a healthy system showing signs of movement. However to the north of it it is helping to contain the rather dusty SAL outbreak, the SAL outbreak could also affect it's development.

[Teban54]

If you track the vorticity on the models, you will find that the second possible development in the W Caribbean late next week seems to be from this tropical wave.

If the wave develops this early, wouldn't it feel the weakness left by 97L and move OTS instead?

[cycloneye]

Wow, that was fast. Made thread at 1:53 PM and now we have this.

INVEST 98L is up