ATL: IDA - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
hurricane2025
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 206
- Joined: Thu Apr 08, 2021 10:36 am
-
jlauderdal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 7177
- Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
- Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
- Contact:
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Rgv20 wrote:6zGFS with a nightmare scenario of a land falling hurricane into New Orleans in a little over 3 days...Very little time for preparations.
3 days is plenty if people did what they should of at the beginning of the season and if they didn't its still plenty of time, get ready
The models are locked in now so everyone from the LA/TX border east to Mobile needs to prepare for a major hurricane direct hit, its no more complicated than that.
1 likes
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Rgv20 wrote:6zGFS with a nightmare scenario of a land falling hurricane into New Orleans in a little over 3 days...Very little time for preparations.
GFS, CMC and EURO are showing New Orleans hits. Hopefully that changes.
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
SoupBone wrote:tolakram wrote:Not sure why anyone is trusting any model for storm intensity. Best guess is low end cat 3 from me, I'll believe stronger once it gets in the gulf and we know what the upper air pattern is. People should be planning for a major and not hanging onto a category or two when deciding, that's for sure.
I would argue track as well. There's a lot of sighs of relief going on this morning in Houston, but frankly I'm not sure why. If it heads to the TX/LA border, there will be impacts to Houston.
Like the experts at the NHC say time and time again....always plan for a category higher, during a hurricane event..base your decisions on information based facts...planning for a cyclone helps keep us safer during one...
Last edited by underthwx on Thu Aug 26, 2021 10:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes
-
capNstorms
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 128
- Age: 32
- Joined: Mon Jun 14, 2021 12:48 pm
- Location: Beaumont, TX
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Last edited by tolakram on Thu Aug 26, 2021 10:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: removed direct img link
Reason: removed direct img link
0 likes
-
hurricane2025
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 206
- Joined: Thu Apr 08, 2021 10:36 am
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 19990
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
ICON
0 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
-
jlauderdal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 7177
- Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
- Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
- Contact:
Re: RE: Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Not if you are east or west of NOJr0d wrote:Rgv20 wrote:6zGFS with a nightmare scenario of a land falling hurricane into New Orleans in a little over 3 days...Very little time for preparations.
GFS, CMC and EURO are showing New Orleans hits. Hopefully that changes.
1 likes
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
wrong model 
Last edited by Javlin on Thu Aug 26, 2021 10:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
-
catskillfire51
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 480
- Age: 38
- Joined: Sun Aug 26, 2012 5:40 pm
- Location: Lake Jackson, TX
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Javlin wrote:Euro went E https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 600&fh=108
Thats the 00z
0 likes
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
catskillfire51 wrote:Javlin wrote:Euro went E https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 600&fh=108
Thats the 00z
You are right to many mistakes this morning
1 likes
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
The 6Z Euro is actually SW of its last run
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
AerospaceEng
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 53
- Joined: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:34 am
-
PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5276
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
At 72 hours, GFS making a line for SELA, Terrebonne.
1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9280
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
12z NAM 3km is very terrifying! 
This NAM 3km sounding is from the Western Eyewall, 175 knots just above the surface!
This NAM 3km sounding is from the Western Eyewall, 175 knots just above the surface!
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
78 hours, landfall in Terrebonne Parish, 953mb
1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 19990
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Looks similar to me, I expect more let and right shifts, but hopefully not too much.
1 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
tolakram wrote:Looks similar to me, I expect more let and right shifts, but hopefully not too much.
https://i.imgur.com/NwyWPCZ.png
Yeah it starts off slightly west, but then corrects and is almost identical to its previous run.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: NINE - Models
SoupBone wrote:At 72 hours, GFS making a line for SELA, Terrebonne.
Very similar to Katrina
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 38 guests