ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[ElectricStorm]

Breaking News

18z Best Track up to TS IDA.

AL, 09, 2021082618, BEST, 0, 177N, 794W, 35, 1004, TS

You might as well be speaking madarin Im so sorry, What does that mean?

It means it's going to be TS Ida at the next advisory

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Tropical Storm Ida

9-3-1

I suspect Ida won't be known as a "Tropical Storm" for very long though.

Historical note: Ida was the replacement name for 2003's Isabel. 2009's Ida also approached the Gulf Coast as a hurricane.

[kevin]

Breaking News

18z Best Track up to TS IDA.

AL, 09, 2021082618, BEST, 0, 177N, 794W, 35, 1004, TS

You might as well be speaking madarin Im so sorry, What does that mean?

We have Ida, 35 kt and 1004 mbar. For the other stuff:
AL = Atlantic
09 = storm number 9 of the year
2021082618 = 18z on the 26th of August 2021
17.7N, 79.4W (coordinates)

[cycloneye]

Breaking News

18z Best Track up to TS IDA.

AL, 09, 2021082618, BEST, 0, 177N, 794W, 35, 1004, TS

You might as well be speaking madarin Im so sorry, What does that mean?

Is going to be upgrade at 5 PM to Tropical Storm Ida as best track has satelite derivied data and other observations.

[MississippiWx]

Breaking News

18z Best Track up to TS IDA.

AL, 09, 2021082618, BEST, 0, 177N, 794W, 35, 1004, TS

So from the previous NHC advisory, the center has moved north-northEAST. Lol. I think we all know what's happening here-they are slowly correcting their initial position to the mid-level center that has taken over. It's still slightly further north than this best track update.

[wx98]

Breaking News

18z Best Track up to TS IDA.

AL, 09, 2021082618, BEST, 0, 177N, 794W, 35, 1004, TS

You might as well be speaking madarin Im so sorry, What does that mean?

We have Ida, 35 kt and 1004 mbar.

Specifically for those that don't know, that is "Basin, Storm Number, Date/Time, Best Track data, Coords, Wind (kt), Pressure (mbar), and Designation (in this case TS)"

[wx98]

Breaking News

18z Best Track up to TS IDA.

AL, 09, 2021082618, BEST, 0, 177N, 794W, 35, 1004, TS

So from the previous NHC advisory, the center has moved north-northEAST. Lol. I think we all know what's happening here-they are slowly correcting their initial position to the mid-level center that has taken over. It's still slightly further north than this best track update.

Just as I said a few posts ago, this shift to the right may affect model guidance at 18z and 0z.

[Hurrilurker]

On IR it looks to me like some of the convection which was previously offset far to the NE is starting to pull back to the center and consolidate. Still looks pretty rough on the W/SW side, but it's getting there.

[Nimbus]

[MississippiWx]

Breaking News

18z Best Track up to TS IDA.

AL, 09, 2021082618, BEST, 0, 177N, 794W, 35, 1004, TS

So from the previous NHC advisory, the center has moved north-northEAST. Lol. I think we all know what's happening here-they are slowly correcting their initial position to the mid-level center that has taken over. It's still slightly further north than this best track update.

Just as I said a few posts ago, this shift to the right may affect model guidance at 18z and 0z.

At this rate, South FL could receive some impacts.

[aspen]

This is a six hour old TC. Of course it’s gonna look rather rough. It’ll be slow to improve for the next day or so, but should be a better TS by late tonight into early tomorrow.

[cycloneye]

:roll:

What?

[Hypercane_Kyle]

This is a six hour old TC. Of course it’s gonna look rather rough. It’ll be slow to improve for the next day or so, but should be a better TS by late tonight into early tomorrow.

Honestly does not look that rough. A little sheared but a solid and organizing 35 knot TS.

[underthwx]

Tropical Storm Ida

9-3-1

I suspect Ida won't be known as a "Tropical Storm" for very long though.

Historical note: Ida was the replacement name for 2003's Isabel. 2009's Ida also approached the Gulf Coast as a hurricane.

https://i.imgur.com/igSJ6HU.jpg

Are you thinking it's a Hurricane prior to entering the Gulf?....

[grapealcoholic]

Just waiting on some deep core convection to kick off the feedback loop

[jlauderdal]

So from the previous NHC advisory, the center has moved north-northEAST. Lol. I think we all know what's happening here-they are slowly correcting their initial position to the mid-level center that has taken over. It's still slightly further north than this best track update.

Just as I said a few posts ago, this shift to the right may affect model guidance at 18z and 0z.

At this rate, South FL could receive some impacts.

Im sure we will, some breeze and moisture from the inflow.

[Stormgodess]

Breaking News

18z Best Track up to TS IDA.

AL, 09, 2021082618, BEST, 0, 177N, 794W, 35, 1004, TS

You might as well be speaking madarin Im so sorry, What does that mean?

It means it's going to be TS Ida at the next advisory

So with the coords being 17.7N 79.4w That is where I question if an eye was forming earlier? Is it that its just too early in the life of this system for that?

And please dont take that as me questioning anyones judgement, Im sincerely trying to understand and learn

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Tropical Storm Ida

9-3-1

I suspect Ida won't be known as a "Tropical Storm" for very long though.

Historical note: Ida was the replacement name for 2003's Isabel. 2009's Ida also approached the Gulf Coast as a hurricane.

https://i.imgur.com/igSJ6HU.jpg

Are you thinking it's a Hurricane prior to entering the Gulf?....

Very real possibility. GFS & HWRF get it close. My guess is 60 knots before Cuba.

[grapealcoholic]

You might as well be speaking madarin Im so sorry, What does that mean?

It means it's going to be TS Ida at the next advisory

So with the coords being 17.7N 79.4w That is where I question if an eye was forming earlier? Is it that its just too early in the life of this system for that?

And please dont take that as me questioning anyones judgement, Im sincerely trying to understand and learn

https://i.postimg.cc/QMNLtWXh/goes16-vis-09-L-202108261555.gif

It's a mid-level eye associated with a vigorous MLC stacked over the LLC

[HeeBGBz]

Had a feeling it would be a TD when I woke up. Not liking that 110 mph on just the first advisory. At this point, you got to hope it clips Cuba enough to inhibit it from strengthening more in the Gulf.

The NHC track takes it over the warmest part of the Gulf, 110mph seems like a conservative first forecast. I don't think we'll have a decent handle on that until after it goes past Cuba, though.

Looks like Recon just managed to sneak out of BIloxi though between the thunderstorms.

That was an intense little storm. Rain in sheets, lightning and gusty wind..