ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2101 Postby Meteophile » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:56 am

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2102 Postby Hurricane Mike » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:57 am

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2103 Postby aspen » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:57 am

Teban54 wrote:
WiscoWx02 wrote:
skyline385 wrote:
Nope definitely the eye, hot towers been rotating around the spot for a while now and it gradually got warm before peeking out...


Oh yeah there is for sure an eye, agree 100%. But I've just noticed Ida seems to be taking sort of a breather in terms of hot towers popping up or they are not as explosive as they were before. The second I send this one will pop though I'm sure :wink:

IIRC waning of convection is normal when an eye tries to clear out. Ida does have surprisingly warm cloud tops (to me) though, but not sure whether that's actually a hindrance: Genevieve in EPac last year reached Cat 4 with even warmer cloud tops.

The same thing happened with Laura too: convection warmed as the eye appeared, but later in the day, the ring of convection deepened to -75C and cooler once the eye had fully cleared out.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2104 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:57 am

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2105 Postby skyline385 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:57 am



lol did you just link your own tweet? :ggreen:
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2106 Postby Steve » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:57 am

StormPyrate wrote:
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:I maybe late in asking this but why havent evacuations been issued?

To me this is looking like a katrina 2 type scenario with levees failing...or is something different?

I just dont wanna wake and see them do emergency evacuations 6 hiurs before the storm like last time

New Orleans did not evacuate for Katrina until too late, as I understand it, there are legal ramifications to doing so that no one in New Orleans leadership ever seems to want to own


Certainly true, but not exactly. They always said they needed 72 hours to get everyone out. We didn’t get the warning that the track moved 200 miles west until Friday afternoon. So they didn’t have 72 hours. But we still got 90% of the metro out in like 2/3’rds the time it was supposed to take. Plenty of failures along the way. And contra flow was a disaster as MS said. 9 hours to get to Alexandria (3 hour drive). There was some podunk town in Mississippi it took us 2 hours to get through. It was a highway to side street traffic light intersection with two cops Sitting there looking at people instead of giving a damn that if they just controlled the light sequence, they probably could have had cars rolling through smoothly.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2107 Postby Meteophile » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:02 am

skyline385 wrote:


lol did you just link your own tweet? :ggreen:




Yup, imgur doesn't work for me so i use the twitter image uploader...
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2108 Postby aspen » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:04 am

Low-res microwave pass from three hours ago. I can see what could’ve been the moat-like features Andy tweeted about, but it’s possible the band around the eyewall is melding into the eyewall. I can also see signs of it on visible/IR imagery.
Image
Also, the microwave eye is way larger than the clear spot on visible/IR imagery. We’ll probably see that feature briefly cloud over as the wider eye opens up and the nearby band melds into the main eyewall.
Last edited by aspen on Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2109 Postby Kohlecane » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:04 am

Image
This is a very interesting storm!
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2110 Postby TorSkk » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:05 am

Eye clearing out fast on the mesoscale floater with new hot towers
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2111 Postby LARanger » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:09 am

skyline385 wrote:


lol did you just link your own tweet? :ggreen:


Did you just try to make fun of him for linking to a multimedia tweet rather than reconstructing it here?

(Edit: Sorry, may be a little punchy, but I'm always unamused by misapplication of the made-up, oft-ignored 'rule' that one must not retweet oneself under any circumstances . . . it's sillier than "the wrong fork", and frequently ignored with good reason.)
Last edited by LARanger on Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The GFDL would've had all this figured out by now.

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2112 Postby kevin » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:13 am

Sorry if it has been answered already, but how long until the next recon goes to Ida?
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2113 Postby MississippiWx » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:14 am

Believe Ida is going to end up being a large hurricane. The increase of banding to the south and east is making this storm look very large (and beautiful).
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2114 Postby Kohlecane » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:16 am

kevin wrote:Sorry if it has been answered already, but how long until the next recon goes to Ida?

I believe someone posted close to 4PM but could be subject to change, I'm not sure how a change works with Recon
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2115 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:18 am

Update: My family including my Mom is evacuating Nola, they got on the road an hour ago heading east to Orange Beach AL, my cousin found a big rental home in short notice.
A usual 3 hr drive is going to take them almost 6 hrs to get there because of traffic, is bumper to bumper traffic on I-10 from Nola to Gulfport.

Ida is starting to get its act together this afternoon.

Image
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2116 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:18 am

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2117 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:18 am

Category 5 is still my call. This will catch some people off guard for sure. This is going to be a very large hurricane. Prayers to everyone in LA, AL, and MS
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2118 Postby StormPyrate » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:19 am

LARanger wrote:
skyline385 wrote:


lol did you just link your own tweet? :ggreen:


Did you just try to make fun of him for linking to a multimedia tweet rather than reconstructing it here?

(Edit: Sorry, may be a little punchy, but I'm always unamused by misapplication of the made-up, oft-ignored 'rule' that one must not retweet oneself under any circumstances . . . it's sillier than "the wrong fork", and frequently ignored with good reason.)

Oh brother
It might be ok in today’s world. I would call it spam
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2119 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:19 am

The eye is really clearing out now . . .

Image
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2120 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:20 am

NDG wrote:Update: My family including my Mom is evacuating Nola, they got on the road an hour ago heading east to Orange Beach AL, my cousin found a big rental home in short notice.
A usual 3 hr drive is going to take them almost 6 hrs to get there because of traffic, is bumper to bumper traffic on I-10 from Nola to Gulfport.

Ida is starting to get its act together this afternoon.

https://i.imgur.com/YJgSqad.gif


The area they are going is safe?
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