TheDreamTraveler wrote:GeneratorPower wrote:Airboy wrote:Euro Z12 trending a bit east if I see right
Definite east shift in Euro 12z. Pretty much a worst case scenario for New Orleans if this verifies. SE approach to New Orleans. Right front quadrant winds will pile water into Lake Ponch. And surge will be maximized from this approach angle. If this verifies I believe surge will be equal to or greater than that K storm in the greater New Orleans area. This is not a forecast. Follow official NHC forecasts and heed voluntary evac since mandatory evac is not in effect.
I'm pretty sure Ida would have to be even more east than that to be a worst case scenario for new orleans in terms of surge and flooding. Regardless the closer it gets the worse it's going to be. Ida would need a track similar to Georges in 1998 to be a worst case scenario. At this point it's turning into a 2nd worst case scenario for them if it keeps adjusting east :/
agreed wit the Georges type track. I remember watching Joe Bastardi during the Katrina coverage. He said the worst case scenario for Nola was the eye
of a major hurricane passing directly over lake Borgne from the SE. The water would be pushed into lake Pontchartrain. The water from both lakes would then inundate
the entire city. Nola would also be dealing with high winds as well as massive flooding.