ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[Javlin]

Well I went looked at some of the models had not looked since last evening they all show a kick W right off shore?see if if it holds true.

[Kohlecane]

https://twitter.com/WeatherFlowCHAS/status/1431729912961028098

[PTPatrick]

Haven’t been terribly surprised by what I’ve seen today. It’s surely strengthening, not fast enough for some folks but probably plenty fast for the folks in Grand Isle and Houma. Nhc still saying RI tonight …usually night time is good time for RI compared to midday. So if we end up with a cat 3/4 by late tonight I would not be amazed. But what we got now is a strong storm with good structure (if not perfect for RI) traversing high heat content water with little shear…so the pieces are there. Sometimes everything falls together for RI, sometimes not. Time will tell.

[tolakram]

saved loop

[stormhunter7]

113mph wind at 850mb on NE eyewall. Heck of a flight inbound for sure.

[MississippiWx]

I think Ida likes the loop current. The CDO is rapidly smoothing and becoming much cooler.

[tolakram]

[ScottNAtlanta]

Eye still looks open to the NW...deep convection hasn't quite wrapped all the way around

Andddd it's closed

Not quite on both of the IR satellites I'm looking at. Close, but not yet

[Airboy]

From the dropsonde in the center:
974mb (28.77 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 27.8°C (82.0°F) 25.9°C (79°F) 225° (from the SW) 10 knots (12 mph)

[tropicwatch]

Station 42039 (LLNR 115) - PENSACOLA - 115NM SSE of Pensacola, FL and 188 miles north of Ida reporting sustained winds of 31kts gusts to 38.9kts.

[stormhunter7]

974mb with 12mph wind at center.

[FLpanhandle91]

I think Ida likes the loop current. The CDO is rapidly smoothing and becoming much cooler.

Just entering it now. Still many hours over that rocket fuel.

[drezee]

 https://twitter.com/andretrotter/status/1431732604806434816

[Clearcloudz]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1431732664285818881

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Eye still looks open to the NW...deep convection hasn't quite wrapped all the way around

Andddd it's closed

Not quite on both of the IR satellites I'm looking at. Close, but not yet

VDM confirms a closed eyewall. Likely a new development.

Code: Select all

F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 25 nautical miles (29 statute miles)

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1431734060728995840

[aspen]

That drop supports 972mb, but winds in the NE quad don’t support Category 2 intensity…yet. That’ll likely change as the CDO becomes better and winds begin to catch up to that massive pressure drop from last flight. Seems like the Loop Current is doing its magic.

Strange how the NE quad is so much stronger than the SW quad; the latter doesn’t have a single 64+ kt FL wind barb.

[Clearcloudz]

Evcauation Traffic on I 10

[ElectricStorm]

That drop supports 972mb, but winds in the NE quad don’t support Category 2 intensity…yet. That’ll likely change as the CDO becomes better and winds begin to catch up to that massive pressure drop from last flight. Seems like the Loop Current is doing its magic.

Strange how the NE quad is so much stronger than the SW quad; the latter doesn’t have a single 64+ kt FL wind barb.

It's weird because the drop in the SW eyewall has hurricane force winds everywhere except the very top and the surface. Seems a bit odd

[Steve]

If this track to the east of the cone continues they need to move the Hurricane Warnings further eastward and the TS Warnings.

Almost to late now Dean

.

Wind field Isn’t currently large enough to do that based on the new track. TS Warnings sure, maybe a hurricane watch. Not warnings in Jackson Co.