ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

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CronkPSU
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2961 Postby CronkPSU » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:07 pm

 https://twitter.com/Laura_Buchtel/status/1431815529707233280




better visualization of the slight track shift
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2962 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:12 pm

CronkPSU wrote:https://twitter.com/Laura_Buchtel/status/1431815529707233280?s=20

better visualization of the slight track shift


@35-40 miles from Thibodaux to NOLA, so NOLA still on edge of hurricane force wind field...
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2963 Postby tropicwatch » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:14 pm

Hammy wrote:
galaxy401 wrote:Glad to see the Recon plane back. Hopefully no incident happens. See if the pressure is still quickly dropping.

Also that track has it going very close to New Orleans. With its fast speed, it could still be very powerful when it gets there.


When's the plane expected to arrive?


They are a little over 400miles away from the center. Maybe an hour and a half give or take 15 or so minutes. Total guestimation 8-)
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2964 Postby sikkar » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:15 pm

Eye may be clear in time for recon.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2965 Postby HDGator » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:15 pm

Stormgodess wrote:Hey guys. Hope all is safe or hunkered down that are in the path of this storm
Im having bad issues with my internet again. And cant get any maps to load. Can someone please let me konw about what time we'll be getting bands coming into around the I-12 corridor Between Baton Rouge and Hammond?

Based on the NHC's Earliest Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force WInds, you're looking at around 8 am tomorrow.
Good luck and stay safe!
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2966 Postby LARanger » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:16 pm

johngaltfla wrote:Almost 600 Louisiana sites with toxic chemicals lie in Hurricane Ida's path


Don't forget the nuclear reactor in St. Francisville. Not that I would necessarily mind having well-lit night-landfalling hurricanes as a general rule, just not that warm green glow.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2967 Postby Clearcloudz » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:16 pm

Mama they keep saying that I can't do it.

Image
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2968 Postby ncskywarn » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:17 pm

It also looks like there's an ERC on going as well.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2969 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:19 pm

CronkPSU wrote:https://twitter.com/Laura_Buchtel/status/1431815529707233280?s=20

better visualization of the slight track shift


@60 miles from Grand Isle to Thibodaux and mostly marshy/bayou and NHC has Ida going from a Cat 4 to a 2, so the marshy/bayou NOT predicted to sustain Ida’s winds.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2970 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:20 pm

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2971 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:20 pm

ncskywarn wrote:It also looks like there's an ERC on going as well.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined

It's not an ERC. The eye has already been larger than it appears on IR. It's just in the process of completely clearing out
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2972 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:21 pm

ncskywarn wrote:It also looks like there's an ERC on going as well.


I don't see it . . .

Image
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2973 Postby Fancy1001 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:22 pm

CronkPSU wrote:https://twitter.com/Laura_Buchtel/status/1431815529707233280?s=20

better visualization of the slight track shift

If it ends up taking a path in between Golden Meadow and Port sulfur, That would be worst case scenario for New Orleans.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2974 Postby Clearcloudz » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:22 pm

Wow The recon mission heading into Ida tonight is traveling at a speed of 358mph. The maximum speed of the Lockheed C-130 is 368 mph. It looks like hurricane center wants this data badly. :eek: :eek: :eek:

Image
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2975 Postby chaser1 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:22 pm

ncskywarn wrote:It also looks like there's an ERC on going as well.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined


I disagree
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2976 Postby Fancy1001 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:24 pm

This feels like with Delta where its major problem was that it could never clear it’s eye out.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2977 Postby Steve » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:25 pm

Blown Away wrote:
bella_may wrote:NOLA needs to prepare for a direct hit


NOLA looks to be just on the edge of TS/H force winds after landfall. Hurricane force winds only 35 miles from center, so current track may keep NOLA just on the edge. Every slight adjustment E likely puts NOLA in H force winds.


Wind field has expanded.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2978 Postby Teban54 » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:25 pm

Fancy1001 wrote:This feels like with Delta where its major problem was that it could never clear it’s eye out.

The eye is already in the process of clearing out (again) as we speak, though
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2979 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:26 pm

Fancy1001 wrote:This feels like with Delta where its major problem was that it could never clear it’s eye out.

Delta first had a 6-Nautical Mile Wide eye, the convective bursts were so intense, you could not see it on Satellite!
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route

#2980 Postby sikkar » Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:27 pm

Is that a left jog or a mind trick?
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