ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
https://twitter.com/Laura_Buchtel/status/1431815529707233280
better visualization of the slight track shift
better visualization of the slight track shift
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
CronkPSU wrote:https://twitter.com/Laura_Buchtel/status/1431815529707233280?s=20
better visualization of the slight track shift
@35-40 miles from Thibodaux to NOLA, so NOLA still on edge of hurricane force wind field...
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Hammy wrote:galaxy401 wrote:Glad to see the Recon plane back. Hopefully no incident happens. See if the pressure is still quickly dropping.
Also that track has it going very close to New Orleans. With its fast speed, it could still be very powerful when it gets there.
When's the plane expected to arrive?
They are a little over 400miles away from the center. Maybe an hour and a half give or take 15 or so minutes. Total guestimation

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Eye may be clear in time for recon.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Stormgodess wrote:Hey guys. Hope all is safe or hunkered down that are in the path of this storm
Im having bad issues with my internet again. And cant get any maps to load. Can someone please let me konw about what time we'll be getting bands coming into around the I-12 corridor Between Baton Rouge and Hammond?
Based on the NHC's Earliest Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force WInds, you're looking at around 8 am tomorrow.
Good luck and stay safe!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
johngaltfla wrote:Almost 600 Louisiana sites with toxic chemicals lie in Hurricane Ida's path
Don't forget the nuclear reactor in St. Francisville. Not that I would necessarily mind having well-lit night-landfalling hurricanes as a general rule, just not that warm green glow.
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Baton Rouge area cyclone dilettante, PSWAGGER* tropical weather & hydrology model developer
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The GFDL would've had all this figured out by now.
(* Pseudo-Scientific Wild-A** Guesses Generally Expressed Ridiculously)
The GFDL would've had all this figured out by now.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Mama they keep saying that I can't do it.


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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
It also looks like there's an ERC on going as well.
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
CronkPSU wrote:https://twitter.com/Laura_Buchtel/status/1431815529707233280?s=20
better visualization of the slight track shift
@60 miles from Grand Isle to Thibodaux and mostly marshy/bayou and NHC has Ida going from a Cat 4 to a 2, so the marshy/bayou NOT predicted to sustain Ida’s winds.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
ncskywarn wrote:It also looks like there's an ERC on going as well.
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined
It's not an ERC. The eye has already been larger than it appears on IR. It's just in the process of completely clearing out
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
ncskywarn wrote:It also looks like there's an ERC on going as well.
I don't see it . . .

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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
CronkPSU wrote:https://twitter.com/Laura_Buchtel/status/1431815529707233280?s=20
better visualization of the slight track shift
If it ends up taking a path in between Golden Meadow and Port sulfur, That would be worst case scenario for New Orleans.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Wow The recon mission heading into Ida tonight is traveling at a speed of 358mph. The maximum speed of the Lockheed C-130 is 368 mph. It looks like hurricane center wants this data badly.





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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
ncskywarn wrote:It also looks like there's an ERC on going as well.
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined
I disagree
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
This feels like with Delta where its major problem was that it could never clear it’s eye out.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Blown Away wrote:bella_may wrote:NOLA needs to prepare for a direct hit
NOLA looks to be just on the edge of TS/H force winds after landfall. Hurricane force winds only 35 miles from center, so current track may keep NOLA just on the edge. Every slight adjustment E likely puts NOLA in H force winds.
Wind field has expanded.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Fancy1001 wrote:This feels like with Delta where its major problem was that it could never clear it’s eye out.
The eye is already in the process of clearing out (again) as we speak, though
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Fancy1001 wrote:This feels like with Delta where its major problem was that it could never clear it’s eye out.
Delta first had a 6-Nautical Mile Wide eye, the convective bursts were so intense, you could not see it on Satellite!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion - RECON in route
Is that a left jog or a mind trick?
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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