ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[ElectricStorm]

There's a chance the winds may have not caught up yet but I'm thinking it's in the Cat 3 range. When the winds catch up it'll be a Cat 4

[supercane4867]

Waiting for the eye temp to rise back to positive territory

[ColdMiser123]

The constant orbiting hot towers around the center are a classic sign of steep intensification, I would be pretty surprised if pressure falls were anything less than ~2-3 mb/hr currently.

[Kohlecane]

What you guys thinking for pressure when recon gets there, ill probably wait for 1 full pass then off to bed, gonna get up at 7 to start all over

[jcera]

Also, I might add, its not called a "Buzzsaw" because of the amount of damage it will do, it's called that because the shape of strong Hurricanes can resemble a literal buzzsaw blade.

[tolakram]

[Hurricane Mike]

Here's a brand new video update on Ida
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HGxDOEb86os

[SteveM]

Recon not far off now.

[eastcoastFL]

Pretty amazing loop of Ida

[Blinhart]

I think there is a very good chance that this will be going west of Grand Isle, she is already almost due South of Port Sulphur and doing its wobbles back and forth.

Not even close to being south of Port Sulphur. Radar has her due south of the AL MS state line.

I said she was almost South of Port Sulphur, according to the radar I'm looking at she is due south of Biloxi. But with Port Sulphur sticking out under Mississippi it doesn't take much for it to be close when the bottom of Mississippi is just about 70 miles wide. So it is very close.

[Blown Away]

NOLA needs to prepare for a direct hit

NOLA looks to be just on the edge of TS/H force winds after landfall. Hurricane force winds only 35 miles from center, so current track may keep NOLA just on the edge. Every slight adjustment E likely puts NOLA in H force winds.

Wind field has expanded.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).

Hurricane winds have been 35-40 miles past few advisories. NOLA about that far from the center assuming no more Ida E shifts. Ida is not giant wind field storm, it’s compact with a nasty small core.

[supercane4867]

Raw T 6.1

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.6 / 953.6mb/104.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.6 5.8 6.1

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 10 km

Center Temp : -4.0C Cloud Region Temp : -68.5C

Scene Type : EYE

[ROCK]

when recon gets there should be close to a cat3 maybe a high end cat 3..the winds need to catch up.

[AnnularCane]

Pretty amazing loop of Ida

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/SMV/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-SMV-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

Amazing how the eyes sometimes look like actual eyes.

[tolakram]

saved radar loop

[Blinhart]

NOLA looks to be just on the edge of TS/H force winds after landfall. Hurricane force winds only 35 miles from center, so current track may keep NOLA just on the edge. Every slight adjustment E likely puts NOLA in H force winds.

Wind field has expanded.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).

Hurricane winds have been 35-40 miles past few advisories. NOLA about that far from the center assuming no more Ida E shifts. Ida is not giant wind field storm, it’s compact with a nasty small core.

We won't know this for sure until RECON gets in there and confirms the size of the wind fields.

[Clearcloudz]

My prediction is they find a cat 3 with 120 - 125 mph

[Blown Away]

Wind field has expanded.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).

Hurricane winds have been 35-40 miles past few advisories. NOLA about that far from the center assuming no more Ida E shifts. Ida is not giant wind field storm, it’s compact with a nasty small core.

We won't know this for sure until RECON gets in there and confirms the size of the wind fields.

Basing it on the 10pm advisory info.

[Blinhart]

My prediction is by the time they are done with this mission they will find a storm that is devastatingly strong and will be still have the pressure dropping. I don't even want to think of how strong she can get especially if she decides to go Parallel to the coast a little longer than expected.

[Kingarabian]

Raw T 6.1

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.6 / 953.6mb/104.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.6 5.8 6.1

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 10 km

Center Temp : -4.0C Cloud Region Temp : -68.5C

Scene Type : EYE

[url]https://i.imgur.com/UPOWkra.gif[url]

Eye warming up to -4.0C. Could be in the process of bombing out.