ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

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Texas Snowman
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3621 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:07 am

SunnyThoughts wrote:150 935mb speechless


Yup, sobering to watch this unfold. :eek:
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3622 Postby Category5Kaiju » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:07 am

The first recorded Cat 5 CONUS landfall was in 1935. 34 years later, Camille hit. 23 years later, Andrew. 26 years later, Michael hit. And merely 3 years later, we are looking at another very real chance of a CONUS Cat 5 landfall. This is beyond mind-blowing.
Last edited by Category5Kaiju on Sun Aug 29, 2021 7:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3623 Postby hohnywx » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:07 am

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3624 Postby Shell Mound » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:08 am

This is going to make landfall just in time for some spectacular stadium-effect GOES visuals at sunrise CDT. Of course, none of this detracts from the gravity of Ida.
Last edited by Shell Mound on Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3625 Postby Javlin » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:08 am

Plotting off of Weathernerds coming up about 3.8clicks N and 2.5clicks W follows the Cimiss steering graph http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3626 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:09 am

:blowup:
tolakram wrote:I'm not sure we have enough crow to serve yesterdays experts.


I deserve some crow right now.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3627 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:09 am

tolakram wrote:I'm not sure we have enough crow to serve yesterdays experts.

They do get the option to take it plain or with Tabasco, the few times I have had to eat crow I take it with Tabasco.

Folks, you can watch local coverage easily on the net and tv apps...wwl, fox8, wdsu. If you haven't been in a hurricane before, watching local tv coverage gives you a good idea of what really happens vs. national coverage.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3628 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:10 am

saved loop
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3629 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:10 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote::blowup:
tolakram wrote:I'm not sure we have enough crow to serve yesterdays experts.


I deserve some crow right now.

You owned and that's ok, we have all been there on the crow front.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3630 Postby aspen » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:10 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote::blowup:
tolakram wrote:I'm not sure we have enough crow to serve yesterdays experts.


I deserve some crow right now.

I certainly do too. At least it’ll be a protein-rich breakfast.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3631 Postby GCANE » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:10 am

kevin wrote:This might be the biggest drop in subsequent passes I've ever seen.

https://i.imgur.com/zk6KtnL.png


The 952 is incorrect.
The dropsonde had 936 at that pass
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3632 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:11 am

tolakram wrote:saved loop
https://imgur.com/azjMeON

inflow is outstanding with no signs of destruction or dry air, chances are over 50% for cat 5.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3633 Postby Shell Mound » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:11 am

 https://twitter.com/AdanAlbertoOFC/status/1431937149100826628




Translation: The sun's rays are already beginning to illuminate the storm towers and cloud tops of Hurricane Major #Ida at dawn on August 29, 2021. The threat of a Category 4 hurricane off the coast of #Luisiana on the 16th anniversary of #Katrina's impact. #USA
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3634 Postby kevin » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:11 am

GCANE wrote:
kevin wrote:This might be the biggest drop in subsequent passes I've ever seen.

https://i.imgur.com/zk6KtnL.png


The 952 is incorrect.
The dropsonde had 936 at that pass


Ah yes, forgot about that thanks for the correction.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3635 Postby cane5 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:11 am

Javlin wrote:New Orleans is about to get something it has never received in modern times they Thought K hit there with barely 75mph winds for the most part this will be the real thing.Hunker down stay dry have tools mainly a hatchet for the roof should the water rise that far.

Here in Biloxi light breeze drizzle half of the beach @6PM last evening was already inundated I guess 3/4' rise.


I agree Katrina was about the levy’s breaking down this puppy is a totally different Animal. Scares me to think this is a Andrew just a little wetter. Different ball game folks.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3636 Postby Teban54 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:12 am

Looks like the eye continues to warm on IR. There's absolutely no sign that Ida will stop intensifying.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3637 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:13 am

There were two 137+ knot wind barbs in the Northeast quadrant last pass by recon.
If the center made landfall at Grand Isle now one of those barbs would be over New Orleans-Gretna.
Someone needs to push the self destruct button and start an EWRC.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3638 Postby tallywx » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:13 am

aspen wrote:
InfernoFlameCat wrote::blowup:
tolakram wrote:I'm not sure we have enough crow to serve yesterdays experts.


I deserve some crow right now.

I certainly do too. At least it’ll be a protein-rich breakfast.


I was calling this Georges 1998 last night. Just woke up to this. I’ll need a whole ‘murder of crows.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3639 Postby Woofde » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:14 am

I'm chasing Ida in parking garage in Western New Orleans right now. Winds are starting to pick as a few of the bands roll through.

No one here thought this was going to get as intense as it is. If the eyewall does make it into New Orleans it will be bad.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#3640 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 29, 2021 6:14 am

New Orleans proper will still probably miss the eastern eyewall, but their margin of error is getting down to few tens of miles.
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