ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[TallyTracker]

Ida’s moving at 14 mph and is about 40 miles SE of Grand Isle. Looks like 2.5 - 3 hours to landfall at this rate.

[tolakram]

saved loop

[Fancy1001]

Dr. Postel just suggested they might have support for a upgrade shortly - TWC

Upgrade to 155 or upgrade to category five.

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/SteveBowenWx/status/1431977807710728193

[wx98]

Looks like it may wobble west and go up Terrebonne Bay. Grand Isle and Port Fourchon get the full brunt.

[jlauderdal]

 https://twitter.com/CrockettWDSU/status/1431963484649033731

Hopefully they share video, if they stayed we might as well see it.

[supercane4867]

TXNT25 KNES 291136
TCSNTL

A. 09L (IDA)

B. 29/1130Z

C. 28.5N

D. 89.5W

E. ONE/GOES-E

F. T6.5/6.5

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS...WMG IS SURROUNDED BY AND EMBEDDED IN B RESULTING IN A
DT OF 6.5 AFTER ADDING 1.0 FOR THE EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET AND PT ARE ALSO
6.5. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...TURK



Eye temp +16C

[Kohlecane]

Dr. Postel just suggested they might have support for a upgrade shortly - TWC

Upgrade to 155 or upgrade to category five.

Clap Emoji, because that is a good question, he spoke it briefly will panning to sat imagery

[wx98]

Now a definite moat showing on radar.

[TallyTracker]

TXNT25 KNES 291136
TCSNTL

A. 09L (IDA)

B. 29/1130Z

C. 28.5N

D. 89.5W

E. ONE/GOES-E

F. T6.5/6.5

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS...WMG IS SURROUNDED BY AND EMBEDDED IN B RESULTING IN A
DT OF 6.5 AFTER ADDING 1.0 FOR THE EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET AND PT ARE ALSO
6.5. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...TURK

https://i.imgur.com/KVXfi7p.png

Eye temp +16C

What’s the estimated winds at T6.5? I’m not super familiar with the estimated wind conversions at the higher T-numbers.

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/MatthewCappucci/status/1431980301006393344

[RL3AO]

What’s the estimated winds at T6.5? I’m not super familiar with the estimated wind conversions at the higher T-numbers.

130kt. 7.0 is a cat 5.

[ElectricStorm]

Eye definitely ragged now and western eyewall is looking weaker on radar. My guess is Ida maintains intensity through landfall. Of course the only difference between a Cat 4 and 5 at this point is a number. The impacts are the same

[aspen]

AF303 is about to head out. Hopefully they actually make it into the storm this time.

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/1431979557083566082

[TallyTracker]

What’s the estimated winds at T6.5? I’m not super familiar with the estimated wind conversions at the higher T-numbers.

130kt. 7.0 is a cat 5.

Thank you! So that also supports the existing intensity though it’s definitely secondary to direct measurements.

[GCANE]

Now a definite moat showing on radar.

Looks like the towers are done firing.

[kevin]

My prediction in the 'How intense will Hurricane Ida be at peak?' thread is looking eerily accurate:

"135 kt, 931 mbar with a lot of Storm2k discussion about flagged or uncertain measurements on the edge of cat 5 (similar to Iota)."

[mpic]

Can you guys please share the hurricane chasers links available on live now? Thanks!

I'm only finding ones that you have to subscribe monthly with a fee. I understand expenses have to be covered but a monthly fee doesn't work for me.

[Meteorcane]

Yeah definitely a secondary wind maximum/moat with that band moving onshore of Plaquemines Parish... too late to have much impact other than keeping IDA at its current intensity really as any EWRC would not have time to complete.