ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4121 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:32 am

Looks like Ida is really delaying a full EWRC and that second eyewall is contacting nicely. It may just meld with the inner eyewall.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4122 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:32 am

Reporting 60,000 without power now.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4123 Postby Hurricane Mike » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:33 am

HurricaneTrack's webcams show surge beginning in Waveland, MS already!
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4124 Postby Woofde » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:34 am

Western New Orleans may take a beating. Winds have already started to pick up quite significantly and it's only just started. They're predicting gusts of 120 mph here, it could be rough. Lots of trees losing branches already.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4125 Postby AlabamaDave » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:34 am

As horrifying as this is, imagine if the track was about 35 miles farther east.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4126 Postby artist » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:34 am

From nhc latest update at 10 central

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km). An elevated NOAA C-MAN station at Southwest Pass recently
reported a sustained wind of 105 mph (169 km/h) and a wind gust of
121 mph (194 km/h). A station in Shell Beach, Louisiana, recently
reported a sustained wind of 44 mph (70 km/h) and a gust of 52 mph
(83 km/h).

A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge in Shell Beach, Louisiana,
recently reported a water level of 5.6 feet above mean higher high
water, which is an approximation of inundation in that area.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4127 Postby p1nheadlarry » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:35 am

AlabamaDave wrote:As horrifying as this is, imagine if the track was about 35 miles farther east.


I guess one saving grace is that the winds won't be northerly for any significant duration like they were for Katrina which keeps Lake P in check for the most part.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4128 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:35 am

FLpanhandle91 wrote:Looks like Ida is really delaying a full EWRC and that second eyewall is contacting nicely. It may just meld with the inner eyewall.

I was just thinking about that. I was originally thinking this would be a classic cycle that would take 12-24 hours if it had time, but it may be able to complete whatever structural changes are occurring before landfall.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4129 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:35 am

AlabamaDave wrote:As horrifying as this is, imagine if the track was about 35 miles farther east.



im not calling all clear yet but it appears NOLA got lucky again.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4130 Postby StormPyrate » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:37 am

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:
AlabamaDave wrote:As horrifying as this is, imagine if the track was about 35 miles farther east.



im not calling all clear yet but it appears NOLA got lucky again.


wise not to, the levees failed several hours after the danger was thought to be over with Katrina.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4131 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:37 am

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:
AlabamaDave wrote:As horrifying as this is, imagine if the track was about 35 miles farther east.



im not calling all clear yet but it appears NOLA got lucky again.


Katrina missed New Orleans too, I'll feel better only when all the winds are gone.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4132 Postby MarioProtVI » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:38 am

Unfortunately this thing really went off overnight in the worst possible scenario - had it gotten together just a bit earlier yesterday it could’ve reached C5. Very close either way and I think TCR will bump it to 135 kt based on those FL winds around 146-148 kt. That very high OHC in the Loop Current really set it off. Likely tens of billions in damages (more then Laura it looks like), especially if that oil refinery mentioned several pages back is affected.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4133 Postby KBBOCA » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:39 am

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4134 Postby Michele B » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:39 am

AlabamaDave wrote:
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:
LSU2001 wrote:Well, just lost power here in Cut Off about 20min ago. We are now getting sustained winds around 40 mph and gusts to close to hurricane strength.

People are already calling the 870am channel and pleading for help.


Many are trapped and houses are flooding. The calls are coming from grand isle

The only road out is part of the ocean right now


Flabbergasted. Grand Isle is just a bunch of houses on stilts.



I just don't want to read any more about Grand Isle any more. It's just going to be so horrible.

We went up to Mexico Beach after Michael with supplies. The scene was surreal. To see an almost entirely BARE beach....and knowing that homes used to sit there.....and poeple were in some of them attempting to "ride it out."

You can't even really....say.....anything once you've seen it irl.....
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4135 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:39 am

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:
AlabamaDave wrote:As horrifying as this is, imagine if the track was about 35 miles farther east.



im not calling all clear yet but it appears NOLA got lucky again.


NOLA very likely not to get catastrophic hurricane winds, but who knows at this point what the surge is/will do to those levees.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4136 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:40 am

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4137 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:40 am

StormPyrate wrote:
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:
AlabamaDave wrote:As horrifying as this is, imagine if the track was about 35 miles farther east.



im not calling all clear yet but it appears NOLA got lucky again.


wise not to, the levees failed several hours after the danger was thought to be over with Katrina.



Yeah I remember, the stock market actually rallied and the headlines were "All clear" then suddenly it just happened

https://money.cnn.com/2005/08/29/market ... s_newyork/

https://money.cnn.com/2005/08/29/market ... ts_nyopen/



And your correct better when its all gone
Last edited by SEASON_CANCELED on Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4138 Postby chaser1 » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:41 am

p1nheadlarry wrote:
AlabamaDave wrote:As horrifying as this is, imagine if the track was about 35 miles farther east.


I guess one saving grace is that the winds won't be northerly for any significant duration like they were for Katrina which keeps Lake P in check for the most part.


Good point; hopefully one less variable to be concerned about. That is, unless levees fail as a result of any northward component of water from the south into Lake P?
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4139 Postby O Town » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:42 am

Clearcloudz wrote:storm surge and winds have gone up on grand isle. Those houses in the background are holding up.

https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/john.humphress2.html

Won’t load. Tried for the the past 45 minutes.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4140 Postby KBBOCA » Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:42 am

Yes, it's definitely too soon to call any kind of all clear for New Orleans!

 https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/1432003734838546436


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