ATL: MINDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Sciencerocks]

[Iceresistance]

Tropical Storm Mindy Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132021
500 PM CDT Wed Sep 08 2021

...NOAA BUOY DATA INDICATES THAT MINDY IS A LITTLE STRONGER...

Recent data from NOAA buoy 42036 indicates that the maximum
sustained winds in Mindy are now near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts.


SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 86.1W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM WSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Beven

[InfernoFlameCat]

I see a surface circulation but the deep convection is lacking. Still a tc with a well defined outflow. Trough to its north north west could help squeeze out a little bit more wind from Mindy.

[grapealcoholic]

I wouldn't want to be in the direct path of this thing is all im saying

[cheezyWXguy]

It looks like it’s wrapped up quite a bit since the time of initial upgrade. If those radar velocities approaching 70mph in the SE quad are believable and not just related to range folding, this probably does have circulation related winds that meet the criteria now, instead of just being related to the attendant outflow boundary observed earlier. Agree with Tolakram’s earlier post though, this was likely upgraded at the time to get warnings out earlier, and on the premise that it would intensify.

Still, pre-Sally east of Florida last year would probably have some gripes with not being upgraded to TS on the same premise while exhibiting similar structure and intensity being called a mesovort.

[tolakram]

saved loop

[Nimbus]

Lots of tree branches that slap the power lines when you get 50 mph gusts so good heads up for the power crews. Not a lot of rain and its moving fast so maybe just the beach communities will lose power.

[NDG]

Mindy has a legit little tight closed circulation, just like the GFS was persistent on having.

[TallyTracker]

The center is looking much better defined on radar. I am interested to see the surface data as Mindy passes Apalachicola. This storm really reminds me of Emily 2017 even more now. Low chance to tropical storm with no warning.

[Ubuntwo]

The center is looking much better defined on radar. I am interested to see the surface data as Mindy passes Apalachicola. This storm really reminds me of Emily 2017 even more now. Low chance to tropical storm with no warning.

On its current track, the strongest winds will pass well to the south of Apalachicola.

[Sciencerocks]

[Iceresistance]

Landfall

Tropical Storm Mindy Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132021
815 PM CDT Wed Sep 08 2021

...CENTER OF MINDY MAKES LANDFALL AT ST. VINCENT ISLAND FLORIDA...

National Weather Service Doppler radar data and surface
observations indicate that the center of Mindy has made landfall
over St. Vincent Island, Florida.

The Tyndall Air Force Base tower south of Apalachicola, Florida,
recently reported sustained winds of 44 mph (70 km/h) and a wind
gust of 55 mph (89 km/h) at an elevation of 115 ft (35 m).


SUMMARY OF 815 PM CDT...0115 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 85.2W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM WSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Beven

[SouthernBreeze]

"a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h) at an elevation of 115 ft" - I wonder what it was at ground level?

[grapealcoholic]

The strongest winds are probably in the southern band

[TallyTracker]

Looks like Mindy’s center will skirt the coast for the next several hours and not likely weaken until it reaches the St. Marks to Steinhatchee area.

[Steve]

Nothing here in Pensacola. Some lower clouds and we had rain this morning early. But we were too far west. I'm watching a live cam in PCB, and there's not much there either except some surge onto the shore. Little wind there either. Definitely a low-end storm (I feel like a depression, but I'm not the experts), but I don't have a problem with the name. **** once again got going north of 28N but luckily wasn't much this time vis a vis Ida. But hopefully that doesn't spell doom again later this month or October.

[grapealcoholic]

Looks like it's onshore

[wxhorse]

Drove through some heavy rain on the way home tonight on I75 between Gainesville and Ocala FL. Looks like a possible band? Certainly felt like driving through a rain band

[HurricaneBelle]

Drove through some heavy rain on the way home tonight on I75 between Gainesville and Ocala FL. Looks like a possible band? Certainly felt like driving through a rain band

Yeah definitely a band that formed from what was originally an outflow boundary (can't get it to display in my preview):
https://imgur.com/a/Ys7Ky8U

[wxhorse]

Drove through some heavy rain on the way home tonight on I75 between Gainesville and Ocala FL. Looks like a possible band? Certainly felt like driving through a rain band

Yeah definitely a band that formed from what was originally an outflow boundary (can't get it to display in my preview):
https://imgur.com/a/Ys7Ky8U

Yup, that's the one. Looks like a few more bands may be flung in our direction as well.

I didn't notice much gustiness. Really heavy rain. Enough to cause some ponding on the road and limit visibility. Heavier rain than an average summer afternoon storm in this area.