Strong Tropical Wave to emerge from West Africa today (Is Invest 95L)

[CyclonicFury]

18z Euro is a lot stronger than the 12z and seems to have a TC in 3-4 days.

[cycloneye]

18z Euro is a lot stronger than the 12z and seems to have a TC in 3-4 days.

Have the graphic unless is a paid site?

[Ubuntwo]

18z Euro is a lot stronger than the 12z and seems to have a TC in 3-4 days.

Have the graphic unless is a paid site?

TS within 3 days.

[SFLcane]

I’ll leave this right here..IF we have a tc near the SW Atlantic there could be some big problems. See any similarities?

Some of the names on the composite are Andrew, Frances, Betsy, Donna, Hugo just to name a few.

[SFLcane]

18z Euro is a lot stronger than the 12z and seems to have a TC in 3-4 days.

Have the graphic unless is a paid site?

[Blown Away]

I’ll leave this right here..IF we have a tc near the SW Atlantic there could be some big problems. See any similarities?

Some of the names on the composite are Andrew, Frances, Betsy, Donna, Hugo just to name a few.

https://i.imgur.com/ER3phUY.jpg


https://i.imgur.com/sv6TF3G.jpg

Where are the storm names posted?

[SFLcane]

I’ll leave this right here..IF we have a tc near the SW Atlantic there could be some big problems. See any similarities?

Some of the names on the composite are Andrew, Frances, Betsy, Donna, Hugo just to name a few.

https://i.imgur.com/ER3phUY.jpg


https://i.imgur.com/sv6TF3G.jpg

Where are the storm names posted?

You can add them individually. Composite can be created here. https://psl.noaa.gov/data/composites/day/

[SFLcane]

[AutoPenalti]

:eek:

https://i.imgur.com/pJW9IKr.png

Meh, not convincing enough. Needs more ridging.

Seriously though, that’s a dangerous set up for anyone in the Islands and SE CONUS.

[Blown Away]

:eek:

https://i.imgur.com/pJW9IKr.png

Meh, not convincing enough. Needs more ridging.

Seriously though, that’s a dangerous set up for anyone in the Islands and SE CONUS.

To get under that ridging in 216 hours, this TW will have to fly across the pond. Today’s model runs hinting this TW would move much faster.

[Spacecoast]

:eek:

https://i.imgur.com/pJW9IKr.png

Meh, not convincing enough. Needs more ridging.

Seriously though, that’s a dangerous set up for anyone in the Islands and SE CONUS.

To get under that ridging in 216 hours, this TW will have to fly across the pond. Today’s model runs hinting this TW would move much faster.

It seems true that the fastest of the 18z GEFS members get caught.
Right now they are outliers, but things could change.

[caneseddy]

Icon looks to miss the islands but in last frame of run (180 hrs) it looks like there may be a west turn beginning NE of the islands, although it’s very subtle.

[ElectricStorm]

0z GFS has a Cat 1 in the MDR, turning N of the islands so far. This will likely be tagged an invest pretty soon, then we get HWRF/HMON runs

[Hurricaneman]

0z GFS has a Cat 1 in the MDR, turning N of the islands so far. This will likely be tagged an invest pretty soon, then we get HWRF/HMON runs

But is getting close so I would watch the trend as the trend is for stronger ridging building back in after the possible east coast system

[Hurricaneman]

It’s bending back west towards the northern lesser Antilles after a wnw turn on the Gfs and weakening due to the TUTT

[caneseddy]

0z GFS has a Cat 1 in the MDR, turning N of the islands so far. This will likely be tagged an invest pretty soon, then we get HWRF/HMON runs

But is getting close so I would watch the trend as the trend is for stronger ridging building back in after the possible east coast system

Also that streamer is there which weakens it to a depression and sends it to the NE Caribbean

[ElectricStorm]

0z GFS has a Cat 1 in the MDR, turning N of the islands so far. This will likely be tagged an invest pretty soon, then we get HWRF/HMON runs

But is getting close so I would watch the trend as the trend is for stronger ridging building back in after the possible east coast system

Also that streamer is there which weakens it to a depression and sends it to the NE Caribbean

Yeah that streamer is gonna be a wild card

[caneseddy]

But is getting close so I would watch the trend as the trend is for stronger ridging building back in after the possible east coast system

Also that streamer is there which weakens it to a depression and sends it to the NE Caribbean

Yeah that streamer is gonna be a wild card

Like Eric Webb tweeted earlier we’d better hope that streamer/TUTT is present as the GFS depicts because the upper air pattern is high pressure north of the islands

GFS dissipates it south of Puerto Rico because of the streamer

[ElectricStorm]

Also that streamer is there which weakens it to a depression and sends it to the NE Caribbean

Yeah that streamer is gonna be a wild card

Like Eric Webb tweeted earlier we’d better hope that streamer/TUTT is present as the GFS depicts because the upper air pattern is high pressure almost all the way north of the islands

Yeah it's way early but I've got a weird feeling about this one, W/SW dives in the Atlantic usually don't end well

[ElectricStorm]

Looks like the streamer kills it but man that is a nasty steering pattern. This is gonna be one we will be watching for awhile...