ATL: NICHOLAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#481 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:23 am

HurricaneBrain wrote:Center seems to be clearing out. I don’t think this is shear related. This is RI IMO https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir


Agree Probably sub 1000mbs s now
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#482 Postby SoupBone » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:24 am

Garnetcat5 wrote:Holy cow some lady just posted on Travis Herzog’s update she has it from a reliable source that there will be 56 inches of rain in Houston. WTH?!?!


That person is a fear mongerer, nothing more. Unless she speaks directly to God.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#483 Postby IcyTundra » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:24 am

Garnetcat5 wrote:Holy cow some lady just posted on Travis Herzog’s update she has it from a reliable source that there will be 56 inches of rain in Houston. WTH?!?!

That is not going to happen. That came from the euro run from earlier today which was showing a slower storm and making landfall further west near Brownsville which is not going to happen.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#484 Postby IcyTundra » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:24 am

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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#485 Postby HurricaneBrain » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:25 am

People will be really surprised tomorrow. This has cat 1 written all over it. Nick’s looking better by the minute.
Image
Last edited by HurricaneBrain on Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#486 Postby Clearcloudz » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:25 am

Garnetcat5 wrote:Holy cow some lady just posted on Travis Herzog’s update she has it from a reliable source that there will be 56 inches of rain in Houston. WTH?!?!


Maybe that reliable source is a kid at his grannys house showing her the EURO run.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#487 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:29 am

Image
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#488 Postby grapealcoholic » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:31 am

It's over the warmest waters in the world right now
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#489 Postby HurricaneBrain » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:34 am

This is about to get really interesting. We’re watching a hurricane form right before our very eyes...
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#490 Postby Craters » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:34 am

Garnetcat5 wrote:Holy cow some lady just posted on Travis Herzog’s update she has it from a reliable source that there will be 56 inches of rain in Houston. WTH?!?!

The only "reliable source" right now would be God himself/Mother Nature herself.

In any case, that "lady" sounds like a complete loser to me.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#491 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:36 am

With that big of a pressure drop, it might take the winds a bit to catch up but I'd say a hurricane is the most likely outcome at this point, whether it weakens before landfall or not remains to be seen.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#492 Postby Craters » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:39 am

grapealcoholic wrote:It's over the warmest waters in the world right now

In the WORLD??

I beg to differ:
https://climatereanalyzer.org/wx/DailySummary/#mslp
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#493 Postby grapealcoholic » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:39 am

Almost seems to be moving east on radar ?
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#494 Postby Garnetcat5 » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:41 am

SoupBone wrote:
Garnetcat5 wrote:Holy cow some lady just posted on Travis Herzog’s update she has it from a reliable source that there will be 56 inches of rain in Houston. WTH?!?!


That person is a fear mongerer, nothing more. Unless she speaks directly to God.

That’s what I was hoping for. Why do people do that?!?!
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#495 Postby Clearcloudz » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:43 am

Garnetcat5 wrote:
SoupBone wrote:
Garnetcat5 wrote:Holy cow some lady just posted on Travis Herzog’s update she has it from a reliable source that there will be 56 inches of rain in Houston. WTH?!?!


That person is a fear mongerer, nothing more. Unless she speaks directly to God.

That’s what I was hoping for. Why do people do that?!?!


I actually just saw her facebook feeds and this lady is misinformation machine not trustworthy at all.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#496 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:47 am

Tropical Storm Nicholas Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021
100 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THAT NICHOLAS IS CONTINUING
TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 96.5W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#497 Postby HurricaneBrain » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:47 am

There is a legitimate eye-like feature persistently showing up on IR... it’s not a fluke like I suspected earlier. We have a hurricane in the works... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#498 Postby gqhebert » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:48 am

Weather Dude wrote:Tropical Storm Nicholas Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021
100 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THAT NICHOLAS IS CONTINUING
TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 96.5W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


Gulf of Mexico working its magic yet again……..
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#499 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:50 am

Where are you seeing an eye form?
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#500 Postby HurricaneBrain » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:52 am

Never said it’s an actual eye, but it’s an eye-like feature. Look at the link I posted. This feature might be more pronounced in the coming hours. Watching closely.
HouTXmetro wrote:Where are you seeing an eye form?
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