#227 Postby aspen » Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:20 am
06z GFS develops this, brings it to a Cat 1/2 hurricane in the western MDR, rips it to shreds, and reforms it just west of Bermuda. The trend of the last few model runs is that future Odette could be anything from perfectly safe to incredibly dangerous depending on whether that PVS does indeed verify at 6-7 days out. However, if the PVS is there but Odette is stronger on approach (maybe a major), then it would probably weaken down to a TS but not dissipate entirely. Think a southern version of Florence.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.