ATL: NICHOLAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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IcyTundra
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#681 Postby IcyTundra » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:34 am

I think Nicholas still has a shot at making landfall as 75-80 mph cat 1 hurricane not like that would change the impacts very much though.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#682 Postby HurricaneBrain » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:34 am

You guys are definitely having what seems to be a PHP glitch. See link for screenshot. https://ibb.co/56w97G6 Also, I just donated, thank you guys for everything!
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#683 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:37 am

Two high-helicity hot towers fired off, west of the MLC.
Rather short duration though, but not too bad for this time of day.
Nic is trying.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#684 Postby psyclone » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:40 am

Nicholas is struggling to get beyond a rain bomb...But rain bombs can be a big hazard..
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#685 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:44 am

September 13th Tropical Tidbits on Nicholas

[youtube]https://youtu.be/DP78cb3WA_w[/youtube]
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#686 Postby underthwx » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:45 am

So far so good here....a little rain....a little breezy....let's hope it stays that way for all...
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#687 Postby IcyTundra » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:51 am

Heavy rain band moving north through Galveston County right now pretty gusty too.
Last edited by IcyTundra on Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#688 Postby Nederlander » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:52 am

SoupBone wrote:Latest shear mapping, get it while it's hot off the press.

https://i.imgur.com/SMnDK4h.gif

Looks to be about 15-20 kts of SR shear
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#689 Postby Craters » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:58 am

underthwx wrote:So far so good here....a little rain....a little breezy....let's hope it stays that way for all...

Same in Alvin. Just went through a fairly heavy band.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#690 Postby Nederlander » Mon Sep 13, 2021 11:58 am

Looking like Matagorda to Freeport for landfall, unless I’m seeing the MLC on radar. He would have to go due north from this point to stay on FC track.

Chambers County might get the worst of the rainfall totals, but remains to be seen.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#691 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:05 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#692 Postby IcyTundra » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:06 pm

 https://twitter.com/JeffLindner1/status/1437453452960051200




Matagorda County, Brazoria County, Galveston County, SE Harris County, Chambers County, and part of Jefferson County under a high risk for excessive rainfall.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#693 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:12 pm

This was a strong warm-core feature about 2 hours ago.
Weakened some, now it seems to be slowly coming back.

Image
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#694 Postby kevco » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:17 pm

GCANE wrote:This was a strong warm-core feature about 2 hours ago.
Weakened some, now it seems to be slowly coming back.

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/bvSq5sY8/94L1.png [/url]


Center looks to be reforming further east from earlier
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#695 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:21 pm

I will say that is some very impressive upper level outflow from Nick. The low level center though looks like trash. Good job Windshear.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#696 Postby SoupBone » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:24 pm

With the new center reformation again north, how many hours are we looking at now for landfall? This afternoon versus this evening?
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#697 Postby MGC » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:25 pm

Nicholas is a mess today. Looks like there are eddies rotating about a central gyre. Doubt its inner structure will consolidate prior to landfall. Gonna be a big rain maker. Y'all in Texas stay dry....MGC
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#698 Postby LSU Saint » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:26 pm

In Houston around NE 610. It’s absolutely pouring right now
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#699 Postby IcyTundra » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:29 pm

SoupBone wrote:With the new center reformation again north, how many hours are we looking at now for landfall? This afternoon versus this evening?

Tonight I think.
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Re: ATL: NICHOLAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#700 Postby Steve » Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:30 pm

OuterBanker wrote:Looks like Corpus Christy lucked out. Maybe a Galveston, Houston, Beaumont problem.


Wasn't she with Motown?
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