gatorcane wrote:If that convection rolling off Africa with possible MLC is where the LLC ends up consolidating, it is already well north of the latest GFS and more in line with the Euro. Even with an LLC forming further south like the GFS shows, the storms still recurves well east of the Lesser Antilles:
https://i.postimg.cc/JnnWmJ6B/goes16-ir-eatl.gif
The difference between the GFS and Euro solutions regarding this blob is that the GFS rotates it around the broad wave envelope and down to 10N where it becomes the dominant center, while the Euro keeps it at that latitude. Seeing how poorly the GFS has done handling the evolution of waves coming off of Africa, I’m leaning towards the Euro for now, but maybe the GFS is about to redeem itself.