https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1440686734883262468
Do models always disagree at only 96 hrs?
ATL: SAM - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
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jlauderdal
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Not with IDA, they were in syncTeban54 wrote: https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1440686734883262468
Do models always disagree at only 96 hrs?
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grapealcoholic
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Teban54 wrote:https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1440686734883262468?s=19
Do models always disagree at only 96 hrs?
The 12z NAM (12km nest) trended towards the euro solution. Should mean the 12z GFS trends west
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
GFS 12z is slower.
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Shell Mound
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
grapealcoholic wrote:
There's an entire cluster that's going south of PR. Not really any talk about that
Do you have access to the extended-range EPS members? That “cluster” could still turn prior to reaching Puerto Rico.
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skyline385
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ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
ICON 12Z ended north of 0Z, looks like models trending north again. That weak Bermuda high this season might end up being the saviour...
EDIT: nvm looks like EURO trending west again
EDIT: nvm looks like EURO trending west again
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Wow the GFS is even stronger at hour 60...
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
skyline385 wrote:ICON 12Z ended north of 0Z, looks like models trending north again. That weak Bermuda high this season might end up being the saviour...
EDIT: nvm looks like EURO trending west again
12z doesn't come out till 1:30 though?
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
GFS slowing down a little. trend
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
It's feeling a weakness. It's really trying to move north.
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grapealcoholic
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
GFS is a lot more progressive with the trough this run.. similar to euro
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Another cut-off low forms. 98L moves into it.
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
If what the GFS is showing doesn’t scream recurve, not sure what does. Saved loop:
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Similar path on the 12Z GFS, just a bit slower.
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
SFLcane wrote:Batter up!
https://i.postimg.cc/Bn8TdT5h/121-F5488-79-E6-4-E94-AB2-F-76-D56622686-E.gif
Home run into Bermuda coming
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
gatorcane wrote:If what the GFS is showing doesn’t scream recurve, not sure what does. Saved loop:
https://i.postimg.cc/Hkcr0kY8/gfs-z500a-Norm-atl-fh0-162.gif
It always has, question is if it's correct or not.
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Wow look at those low dew points into South Florida, same trough that could turn future Sam northward. It is a powerful trough to say the least. Won’t be feeling like hurricane weather here if the GFS is right that is fore sure 
Last edited by gatorcane on Wed Sep 22, 2021 11:28 am, edited 2 times in total.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Maybe the Euro is wrong.
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