ATL: SAM - Remnants - Discussion

[InfernoFlameCat]

Sam is reaching for CAT 5. If it can maintain a CMG then it will get there.

[cycloneye]

Sam appears to be bombing right now. Likely a Cat 4 now and should be a mid-upper 4 in a few hours at this rate.

Just in time for the visit from Miss Piggy in a few hours.

[InfernoFlameCat]

This storm is the kind of storm we have been waiting to see and have not gotten arguably since Irma. A powerful MDR Cape Verde system traversing through the deep tropics is a beautiful sight to behold.

[kevin]

I hope this gets to a cat 5 and goes OTS, I love tracking these MDR majors that stay strong for many days. I don't think we have had an MDR beast like this since the Irma/Jose/Maria combo. Maybe Lorenzo but that storm was so unusual that I'm not sure it fits the bill.

[Teban54]

This storm is the kind of storm we have been waiting to see and have not gotten arguably since Irma. A powerful MDR Cape Verde system traversing through the deep tropics is a beautiful sight to behold.

Lorenzo?

[DioBrando]

I hope this gets to a cat 5 and goes OTS, I love tracking these MDR majors that stay strong for many days. I don't think we have had an MDR beast like this since the Irma/Jose/Maria combo. Maybe Lorenzo but that storm was so unusual that I'm not sure it fits the bill.

still counts tbh ngl

[InfernoFlameCat]

This storm is the kind of storm we have been waiting to see and have not gotten arguably since Irma. A powerful MDR Cape Verde system traversing through the deep tropics is a beautiful sight to behold.

Lorenzo?

Lorenzo was not a deep tropics system imo. Neither did it hold a powerful intensity like Sam is forecast to do.

[Teban54]

Looks better than Larry every did tbh

[Yellow Evan]

T6.0 but very close to T7.0 and previous frame was T6.5.

[CyclonicFury]

TXNT24 KNES 251737
TCSNTL

A. 18L (SAM)

B. 25/1731Z

C. 13.0N

D. 48.1W

E. ONE/GOES-E

F. T6.0/6.0

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...A WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY WHITE AND EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A
DT OF 6.0 AFTER AN EYE ADJ OF +0.5. MET IS EQUAL TO 5.5 AND PT IS EQUAL TO
6.0 BASED ON A DEVELOPING TREND IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...TUGGLE

[Yellow Evan]

This storm is the kind of storm we have been waiting to see and have not gotten arguably since Irma. A powerful MDR Cape Verde system traversing through the deep tropics is a beautiful sight to behold.

Lorenzo?

Lorenzo was not a deep tropics system imo. Neither did it hold a powerful intensity like Sam is forecast to do.

Considering it’s first peak was below 20N and it’s origns, it absolutely was a deep tropical system and given it wracked up 31 ACE units, was certainly a long tracker.

[InfernoFlameCat]

I think this is at 120-125 knots right now.

[Yellow Evan]

Eye is literally .1 degrees short of WMG needed for T7.0.

[aspen]

Lots of lightning in the eyewall over the last hour or so. I can’t wait for recon to sample Sam later this afternoon/early evening. My best guess is a 120-125 kt/950-945mb Cat 4.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Lorenzo?

Lorenzo was not a deep tropics system imo. Neither did it hold a powerful intensity like Sam is forecast to do.

Considering it’s first peak was below 20N and it’s origns, it absolutely was a deep tropical system and given it wracked up 31 ACE units, was certainly a long tracker.

I misspoke(I was wrong), Lorenzo was a deep tropics system. However it did not stay there for very long. Also Sam looks more appealing IMO like Irma did. Irma was a gorgeous storm.

[Stormybajan]

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/733552978572869632/891384238467866694/18L_BD.png

Eye is literally .1 degrees short of WMG needed for T7.0.

Going for 120 knots right now. Cant wait for recon to get there in 2 hours

[aspen]

Some of those outer bands might try to wrap around into an outer eyewall, but so far the inner eyewall is dominant with no EWRC likely within the next 6 hours or so.

[Iceresistance]

Sam's CDO is much smoother & Circular in the past 3-5 hours . . .

[InfernoFlameCat]

This storm gets better by the frame.

[InfernoFlameCat]

I think right now Hugo is the best comparison to Sam.