ATL: VICTOR - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 90, 2021092712, , BEST, 0, 72N, 144W, 20, 1010, DB

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/

[AutoPenalti]

So which is Invest 90L?

The MDR wave or the other MDR wave?

[Extratropical94]

So which is Invest 90L?

The MDR wave or the other MDR wave?

AL, 90, 2021092712, , BEST, 0, 72N, 144W, 20, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 040, SPAWNINVEST, al742021 to al902021,

This is the eastern wave near the African coast

Edit: Snippet from the track map for clarification:

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

Plenty of convection with this wave.

[cheezyWXguy]

So which is Invest 90L?

The MDR wave or the other MDR wave?

AL, 90, 2021092712, , BEST, 0, 72N, 144W, 20, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 040, SPAWNINVEST, al742021 to al902021,

This is the eastern wave near the African coast

Edit: Snippet from the track map for clarification:

https://i.imgur.com/PaAjSWG.png

Really like this map, wish we could make this the map at the top of the forum

[Extratropical94]

So which is Invest 90L?

The MDR wave or the other MDR wave?

AL, 90, 2021092712, , BEST, 0, 72N, 144W, 20, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 040, SPAWNINVEST, al742021 to al902021,

This is the eastern wave near the African coast

Edit: Snippet from the track map for clarification:

https://i.imgur.com/PaAjSWG.png

Really like this map, wish we could make this the map at the top of the forum

Thanks! Couple problems with that though, it would require Python code to be automatically run somewhere. Also, the code breaks from time to time (e.g. when there are typos in NHC products, or the formatting changes, or the NHC servers block my HTTP requests ) so the map would be broken/outdated way more often than the official NHC map. And it is optimized for the resolution of my monitor (2560x1440), so the font sizes on the full map would be way too small when resized to the resolution of the current forum map.

[ScottNAtlanta]

So which is Invest 90L?

The MDR wave or the other MDR wave?

AL, 90, 2021092712, , BEST, 0, 72N, 144W, 20, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 200, 50, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 040, SPAWNINVEST, al742021 to al902021,

This is the eastern wave near the African coast

Edit: Snippet from the track map for clarification:

https://i.imgur.com/PaAjSWG.png

Really like this map, wish we could make this the map at the top of the forum

I second that motion. Just saw post above...oh well

[Teban54]

3. A tropical wave is moving offshore the west coast of Africa and
into the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are
forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

[Teban54]

I know looks can be deceiving, but this is already getting the looks of a TD:

[cycloneye]

A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

AL, 90, 2021092718, , BEST, 0, 70N, 142W, 20, 1010, DB

[ElectricStorm]

Since it's late September I would think this should be a recurve. Hopefully it can become something solid while going OTS. Should be a race to Victor between this and the wave to the west.

[Hurrilurker]

Would be really helpful to mark the invest numbers on the map at the top of the page, is that possible?

[SconnieCane]

Would be really helpful to mark the invest numbers on the map at the top of the page, is that possible?

It's the map directly from the NHC site, so no. The one they used to have with the invest numbers, SSHWS categories etc broke a few months ago and crashed the forum.

Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

[cycloneye]

A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a couple
of days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

[cycloneye]

AL, 90, 2021092800, , BEST, 0, 67N, 168W, 20, 1010, LO

[bob rulz]

What's the furthest south a storm has ever developed in the Atlantic?

[RL3AO]

What's the furthest south a storm has ever developed in the Atlantic?

Isadore became a TD at 7.2N in 1990.

A storm from 1902 has a BT of being a TS at 7.7N. In the modern era, the lowest latitude TS is Kirk in 2018 at 8.1N.

This is everything in the Atlantic database south of 8.5N