Ntxw wrote:I wouldn't call it bust yet. Where it is raining hard right now to the NW dews up there are in the 50s and lower 60s, the lift from the boundary rather than moisture content is in control as far as today. Once the greater area of lift shifts east, infused with what's left of Pamela the moisture content to the east and south is much higher near 70dp. They will be very efficient rain producers once it arrives tonight. Can make it up quickly.
I should have clarified that I was just pointing out that today was a massive bust (for those keeping score, yesterday was as well with 70% forecast and almost no rain in DFW). Models are obviously struggling with the setup but the extra heating to the SE of the boundary probably results in a net positive vs. rain moving in quicker.
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.