Texas Fall 2021
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Looks like a fair amount of rain coming to the region next week.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Frosty this morning, got down to 37°F
3 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
bubba hotep wrote:Looks like a fair amount of rain coming to the region next week.
https://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021103000/168/qpf_acc.us_sc.png
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2021103000/168/qpf_acc.us_sc.png
Makes sense with that SOI drop we saw this past week. Now if only we could get some good cold to go with it.
3 likes
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Re: Texas Fall 2021
This next front doesn’t appear to be anything but a seasonal normal early November front. Nothing crazy like it was showing a few days ago.
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- Haris
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- Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2021
Cpv17 wrote:This next front doesn’t appear to be anything but a seasonal normal early November front. Nothing crazy like it was showing a few days ago.
Yeah and less rain too. Oh well
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Much colder up here(were gonna be lucky to see much above 50 starting tomorrow) and it looks like at least DFW will get into it by mid week with highs struggling to the mid 50s. For early November that is quite cold considering average. Yeah maybe the snow hints are gone but what were the odds of that anyway this early
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2021
Brent wrote:Much colder up here(were gonna be lucky to see much above 50 starting tomorrow) and it looks like at least DFW will get into it by mid week with highs struggling to the mid 50s. For early November that is quite cold considering average. Yeah maybe the snow hints are gone but what were the odds of that anyway this early
Looks like mid to upper 40’s for lows and mid to upper 60’s for highs across southeast TX with maybe 1-2” of rain late Wednesday into early Thursday. I’ll take it.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Brent wrote:Much colder up here(were gonna be lucky to see much above 50 starting tomorrow) and it looks like at least DFW will get into it by mid week with highs struggling to the mid 50s. For early November that is quite cold considering average. Yeah maybe the snow hints are gone but what were the odds of that anyway this early
It's not common, but there has been September snow in the Panhandle before.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Texas Snowman
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- Location: Denison, Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2021
Interesting tweet from Ryan Maue. We’re about four weeks away from being in the window of early winter mischief like 2013:
"The threat for climate-induced extreme winter storms again in Texas this winter remains very high & the state remains increasingly vulnerable to wobbling polar vortex "deep freeze". Double dip La Niña."
"The threat for climate-induced extreme winter storms again in Texas this winter remains very high & the state remains increasingly vulnerable to wobbling polar vortex "deep freeze". Double dip La Niña."
1 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
aggiecutter wrote::uarrow:
[url]https://i.ibb.co/9WLr9db/Weather.png [/url]
Yeah, loading up on the firewood. Thinking a lot lately about December 2013 and December 1989.
3 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Texas Snowman wrote:Interesting tweet from Ryan Maue. We’re about four weeks away from being in the window of early winter mischief like 2013:
"The threat for climate-induced extreme winter storms again in Texas this winter remains very high & the state remains increasingly vulnerable to wobbling polar vortex "deep freeze". Double dip La Niña."
I swear this fall has literally been the exact same as last fall/winter….
50’s in September
Snow scare October
Boring, plain November and December.
Larry Cosgrove literally predicted winter weather early January last winter. In November. Whatever he says I’m going along with it
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Texas Snowman wrote:aggiecutter wrote::uarrow:
[url]https://i.ibb.co/9WLr9db/Weather.png [/url]
Yeah, loading up on the firewood. Thinking a lot lately about December 2013 and December 1989.
Mike Morgan up in OKC(yeah I know)... Threw out December 1983 last night
There's also been a met here talking about November December 2000 which I know was very cold and had several winter storms
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Brent wrote:Texas Snowman wrote:aggiecutter wrote::uarrow:
[url]https://i.ibb.co/9WLr9db/Weather.png [/url]
Yeah, loading up on the firewood. Thinking a lot lately about December 2013 and December 1989.
Mike Morgan up in OKC(yeah I know)... Threw out December 1983 last night
There's also been a met here talking about November December 2000 which I know was very cold and had several winter storms
I loved Dec. 2000 as a Kansas kid. Got a few snowstorms that weren’t big but kept piling up because the cold refused to let it melt. Remember sledding on a nearby pond with dad.
1 likes
- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Texas Snowman wrote:aggiecutter wrote::uarrow:
[url]https://i.ibb.co/9WLr9db/Weather.png [/url]
Yeah, loading up on the firewood. Thinking a lot lately about December 2013 and December 1989.
I got a cord last weekend of well seasoned Oak mix. My supplier said he has already sold half of his stock which equaled what he sold all of last winter.
1 likes
Re: Texas Fall 2021
It's going to be a blocky winter. The winter storm chances will be there. Blocking, it's been happening, it's currently happening, and all long range indicators and guidance suggest it will continue.
Million dollar question is what are we going to block? Pacific air, polar air, or Arctic air? Can we time some cold with the blocking?
Million dollar question is what are we going to block? Pacific air, polar air, or Arctic air? Can we time some cold with the blocking?
6 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Brent wrote:Texas Snowman wrote:aggiecutter wrote::uarrow:
[url]https://i.ibb.co/9WLr9db/Weather.png [/url]
Yeah, loading up on the firewood. Thinking a lot lately about December 2013 and December 1989.
Mike Morgan up in OKC(yeah I know)... Threw out December 1983 last night
There's also been a met here talking about November December 2000 which I know was very cold and had several winter storms
What did Manic Mike say?
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
Don't worry Y'all, my family has plans on when needing the Space Heaters for the Well house, I'm sure that the water & pipes would be fine this winter.
Since I'm the family & school Forecaster, they rely & count on me on when the time comes. I've warned my family & the school on the February 2021 Extreme Cold & Snow up to 2 weeks in advance.
Since I'm the family & school Forecaster, they rely & count on me on when the time comes. I've warned my family & the school on the February 2021 Extreme Cold & Snow up to 2 weeks in advance.
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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Re: Texas Fall 2021
CaptinCrunch wrote:Texas Snowman wrote:aggiecutter wrote::uarrow:
[url]https://i.ibb.co/9WLr9db/Weather.png [/url]
Yeah, loading up on the firewood. Thinking a lot lately about December 2013 and December 1989.
I got a cord last weekend of well seasoned Oak mix. My supplier said he has already sold half of his stock which equaled what he sold all of last winter.
I do believe that the La Nina makes the Polar Vortex less stable & can cause extreme cold to spill over a particular region, but where is the question, I'm keeping a sharp eye on the Teleconnections.
November 1st North America Teleconnections
PNA: Positive
PNA model trend: Expected to be generally Positive/Sub-Positive for the next several days.
NAO: Negative
NAO Model Trend: Expected to be generally Negative for most of this month
AO: Negative
AO Model Trend: Becoming Positive within the next couple of days & staying generally Positive for the next several Days afterword.
Link for Ensemble Model trends: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2021
18z GFS
LINK: https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_52.png
LINK: https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_T2m_scus_56.png
Is developing consistency of a very chilly blast somewhere in that time frame, first started to develop the consistency since the 6z run.
LINK: https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_52.png
LINK: https://s10.gifyu.com/images/gfs_T2m_scus_56.png
Is developing consistency of a very chilly blast somewhere in that time frame, first started to develop the consistency since the 6z run.
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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