Texas Fall 2021

[starsfan65]

PNA trends today were not that great. Too positive for next week.

The PNA doesn't look too bad.

[TheProfessor]

PNA trends today were not that great. Too positive for next week.

The PNA doesn't look too bad.

Further down the road no, but it's going to be trending positive at the wrong time for us next week. If we had another system to take advantage once that trend stops and it starts to go back down we could probably cash in on something, but right now, timing looks too displaced.

[Brent]

Looks like a big rain event to me. Probably best hope is some token flakes as it ends right now

[Cpv17]

Looks like a big rain event to me. Probably best hope is some token flakes as it ends right now

Not even too sure yet about it being that…

[Brent]

Looks like a big rain event to me. Probably best hope is some token flakes as it ends right now

Not even too sure yet about it being that…

You got a point there the GFS and CMC are much less impressive than the Euro more of a quick hit of rain

[CaptinCrunch]

The last several rain events for NTX have been either feast or famine, you either got 1"+ or less than 0.25" and for me here at the casa it's been mostly famine
The models always talk a BIG game till it's time to preform then it's "we'll see"

[rwfromkansas]

If only La Niña could also feature a strong southern stream.

[Brent]

Yeah trends today not interesting less cold and less rain. The front isn't even colder than the one we just had

[BTAYLOR5021]

15 day shows seasonable to slightly above average. Hope it turns cold soon

[Iceresistance]

We may not be able to get snow on Thanksgiving week, the AO & NAO are way more Positive than expected right now.

[starsfan65]

All quiet in here.

[Iceresistance]

Early December might get interesting, especially since the 12z GEFS is showing this:


https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs-ens_T2ma_namer_65.png


https://s5.gifyu.com/images/gfs-ens_T2m_namer_65.png

The Greenland & Alaska Blocks will do the trick, but the East Coast block will guarantee that the cold will come down this way, only time will tell if this is the case.


https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

[Ntxw]

Mild couple of days leading up to the holiday then a cooler Thanksgiving on tap, though mostly dry.

We are now sitting at a crossroads. Very cold air is sitting and spinning in Alaska and the Yukon. We anxiously watch if that ever comes down or if it just sits up there all winter. We either go towards last year's product or 2011-2012 where the cold just sits up there all winter and nothing ever happened. We are fighting a strong +EPO regime that second year Ninas loves to do. Of course, anything that does happen is 10+ days away...you know that drill.

[Texas Snowman]

Tweet from yesterday…

@RyanMaue — Alaska going thru at least 7-10 days of brutally cold conditions. Temperatures way below 0°F and wind chills colder than -50°F where some people live.

Idea is that this cold sits and spins for next 10-days or so, then unloads on the Lower 48 with major Arctic blast early Dec

[EnnisTx]

Driving home on I20 Westbound in Grand Prairie, TXDOT message board reads, Watch for crews ice prevention in progress...

I think someone pushed the wrong button...

[gpsnowman]

Driving home on I20 Westbound in Grand Prairie, TXDOT message board reads, Watch for crews ice prevention in progress...

I think someone pushed the wrong button...

Just some practice time for DJFM.

[Iceresistance]

What is with the 12z GFS? Showing a 1067 MB High over Western Canada & near Alaska is INSANE!

[Brent]

Driving home on I20 Westbound in Grand Prairie, TXDOT message board reads, Watch for crews ice prevention in progress...

I think someone pushed the wrong button...

Just some practice time for DJFM.

We hope

I just hope it's not like 11/12 that winter was trash for snow

[Cpv17]

What is with the 12z GFS? Showing a 1067 MB High over Western Canada & near Alaska is INSANE!

I think it had one too many tequila shots.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

New latest first snow for folks in Denver. You're welcome.

I think 1" of snow needs to be recorded for things to become official. It snowed the other day for about an hour, moderately, but wasnt enough to register. Next 10 days dont look good.