WPAC: NYATOH - Post-Tropical

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MarioProtVI
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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Typhoon

#41 Postby MarioProtVI » Thu Dec 02, 2021 2:07 pm

27W NYATOH 211202 1800 19.5N 137.5E WPAC 125 933

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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Typhoon

#42 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Dec 02, 2021 2:36 pm

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 02 DEC 2021 Time : 184000 UTC
Lat : 19:50:24 N Lon : 137:36:00 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.7 / 928mb / 132kts


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.7 6.8 7.1

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 5 km

Center Temp : -33.9C Cloud Region Temp : -83.1C
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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Typhoon

#43 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Dec 02, 2021 4:49 pm

 https://twitter.com/derrickherndon2/status/1466523432502370308


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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Typhoon

#44 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Dec 02, 2021 5:19 pm

Pretty solid storm out there. Glad it's a recurve and not plowing towards the Philippines like a lot of storms this time of year do. Nice to finally have something strong to track after all this time.
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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Typhoon

#45 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Dec 02, 2021 9:42 pm

SMAP fix from 5 hours ago, 123.6 kt
WP, 27, 202112022118, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2090N, 13870E, , 1, 115, 1, , , , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , , NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 27, 202112022118, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2090N, 13870E, , 1, 115, 1, , , , 50, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , , NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 27, 202112022118, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2090N, 13870E, , 1, 115, 1, , , , 64, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , , NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Typhoon

#46 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Dec 02, 2021 10:38 pm

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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Typhoon

#47 Postby Subtrop » Fri Dec 03, 2021 2:37 am

27W NYATOH 211203 0600 22.5N 140.5E WPAC 120 938
27W NYATOH 211203 0000 20.9N 138.7E WPAC 125 936
27W NYATOH 211202 2100 20.2N 138.1E WPAC 130 928
27W NYATOH 211202 1800 19.5N 137.5E WPAC 125 933
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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Typhoon

#48 Postby Meow » Fri Dec 03, 2021 1:07 pm

A complete eyewall at 26ºN, in winter.

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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Tropical Storm

#49 Postby wxman57 » Fri Dec 03, 2021 8:24 pm

Lost its convection now and is completely decoupled.

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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Post-Tropical

#50 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Dec 04, 2021 3:33 am

Interesting, an SMAP fix from 08Z yesterday yields 135.4 knots, that's basically a cat 5.
WP, 27, 202112030810, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2250N, 14050E, , 1, 126, 1, , , , 34, NEQ, 162, 157, 42, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 27, 202112030810, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2250N, 14050E, , 1, 126, 1, , , , 50, NEQ, 108, 2, 1, 1, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 27, 202112030810, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2250N, 14050E, , 1, 126, 1, , , , 64, NEQ, 94, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained

JTWC at 06Z yesterday analyzed it 120 knots though
27W NYATOH 211203 0600 22.5N 140.5E WPAC 120 938
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: NYATOH - Post-Tropical

#51 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Dec 04, 2021 3:42 am

This image was a cat 5 yesterday according to SMAP
Image
Image
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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