WPAC: INVEST 95W
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W
Hopefully the GFS won't verify. The Philippines have avoided a big hit this year, and getting a big one in December would not be ideal...
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Boomer Sooner!
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W
Hayabusa wrote:dexterlabio wrote:GFS up to its old tricks again with sub 940mb typhoon..in December..in the year 2021
It only gets that strong if it tracks in a higher latitude. The ensemble also shows this the higher lat the stronger it gets. Probably when it's a flat track it tracks faster so less time over water.
A more poleward movement could also increase interaction with the trough, which helps the cyclone to spin up more..
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W
Ensembles are pumped up today
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W
All global models are on board with low-latitude development by Sunday/Monday and a hurricane-force system by the time it reaches the Philippines later next week.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W
With MJO around and the likelihood of a WWB in conjunction but also sparked by a developing SPAC system, latitude shouldn’t be an issue.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W
JTWC fix
While JMA's fix is like the mean longitude of the two invests, as if they already merged, but JMA never marked another low besides 95W
95W INVEST 211210 0000 5.7N 144.7E WPAC 15 1010
96W INVEST 211210 0000 5.8N 150.5E WPAC 15 1010
96W INVEST 211210 0000 5.8N 150.5E WPAC 15 1010
While JMA's fix is like the mean longitude of the two invests, as if they already merged, but JMA never marked another low besides 95W
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 95W
Latest GFS run almost the same track as Haiyan...if this exact track pans out with a 930mb typhoon landing at full force, then Tacloban area in Leyte must be prepared.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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