Texas Winter 2021-2022

[harp]

See Larry Cosgrove’s latest post on his Facebook page…..

[kingwood_tx1999]

Gfs is just trash..can't believe anything it says beyond 4 days lol

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

[TropicalTundra]

See Larry Cosgrove’s latest post on his Facebook page…..

https://www.facebook.com/615925234/posts/10165997460225235/?d=n

[Iceresistance]

I've seen that he put out a Tweet for what could happen in the next several weeks, but I can't find it right now

[Iceresistance]

From BenNollWeather on Twitter

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1470389291347955714

[Iceresistance]

12z GFS is already very interesting because it's showing a very active Late December winter pattern.

[Haris]

12z GFS is already very interesting because it's showing a very active Late December winter pattern.

Lol how many times will it let it burn you?! Toss is the garbage beyond 4-5 days

[TeamPlayersBlue]

GFS ensembles are looking promising. If it holds, New Years will be interesting if we can get a Greenland block, and a block over Alaska.

[Iceresistance]

12z GFS is already very interesting because it's showing a very active Late December winter pattern.

Lol how many times will it let it burn you?! Toss is the garbage beyond 4-5 days

It's the only way it keeps me motivated for this winter on the Winter Weather potential! Lol

[Quixotic]

I heart high latitude blocking.

[Cpv17]

GFS ensembles are looking promising. If it holds, New Years will be interesting if we can get a Greenland block, and a block over Alaska.

Are you referring to this? Cuz if so I don’t really see what’s promising about this..

[orangeblood]

GFS ensembles are looking promising. If it holds, New Years will be interesting if we can get a Greenland block, and a block over Alaska.

Are you referring to this? Cuz if so I don’t really see what’s promising about this..

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2021121312/gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

That's building an INSANE amount of Cold in our source region, exactly what you want to see going into the favorable MJO phases...we're due for an extremely cold January, 2022 could be the year!! DFW hasn't had a January Avg. in the 30's F since 1985

[Cpv17]

GFS ensembles are looking promising. If it holds, New Years will be interesting if we can get a Greenland block, and a block over Alaska.

Are you referring to this? Cuz if so I don’t really see what’s promising about this..

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2021121312/gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

That's building an INSANE amount of Cold in our source region, exactly what you want to see going into the favorable MJO phases...we're due for an extremely cold January, 2022 could be the year!! DFW hasn't had a January Avg. in the 30's F since 1985

There seems to be a southeast ridge and too much of a -PNA and the ridging over western Alaska needs to shift way east.

[Iceresistance]

GFS ensembles are looking promising. If it holds, New Years will be interesting if we can get a Greenland block, and a block over Alaska.

Are you referring to this? Cuz if so I don’t really see what’s promising about this..

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2021121312/gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

That's building an INSANE amount of Cold in our source region, exactly what you want to see going into the favorable MJO phases...we're due for an extremely cold January, 2022 could be the year!! DFW hasn't had a January Avg. in the 30's F since 1985

February 2022 is also looking to be INSANELY COLD as well, we're overdue for Back-to-Back February Cold Waves.

[Ntxw]

While we sit through this current sea of warmth, just something to ponder. He is tweeting in particular about Boston but I have seen the weeklies and there is a reversal. What does this mean? It means the models are slowly picking up the changes and getting out of the old rut pattern and seeing the new as it approaches.

 https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1470502715742687236




The blocking is on the way.

[InfernoFlameCat]

GFS ensembles are looking promising. If it holds, New Years will be interesting if we can get a Greenland block, and a block over Alaska.

Are you referring to this? Cuz if so I don’t really see what’s promising about this..

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2021121312/gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

That's building an INSANE amount of Cold in our source region, exactly what you want to see going into the favorable MJO phases...we're due for an extremely cold January, 2022 could be the year!! DFW hasn't had a January Avg. in the 30's F since 1985

My guy, February did the trick last year. Another super cold outbreak and people are really going to start harassing Wxman57!

[Iceresistance]

Are you referring to this? Cuz if so I don’t really see what’s promising about this..

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2021121312/gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65.png

That's building an INSANE amount of Cold in our source region, exactly what you want to see going into the favorable MJO phases...we're due for an extremely cold January, 2022 could be the year!! DFW hasn't had a January Avg. in the 30's F since 1985

My guy, February did the trick last year. Another super cold outbreak and people are really going to start harassing Wxman57!

Like I mentioned above, we're overdue for Back-to-Back February Cold Waves (2 February Cold Waves in Back-to-Back years)

[ElectricStorm]

That's building an INSANE amount of Cold in our source region, exactly what you want to see going into the favorable MJO phases...we're due for an extremely cold January, 2022 could be the year!! DFW hasn't had a January Avg. in the 30's F since 1985

My guy, February did the trick last year. Another super cold outbreak and people are really going to start harassing Wxman57!

Like I mentioned above, we're overdue for Back-to-Back February Cold Waves (2 February Cold Waves in Back-to-Back years)

Nope last year was good for me for at least a solid decade

[harp]

All that cold air up there and the GFS refuses to drive it south!!! Arrgghhh!!!!

[Iceresistance]

My guy, February did the trick last year. Another super cold outbreak and people are really going to start harassing Wxman57!

Like I mentioned above, we're overdue for Back-to-Back February Cold Waves (2 February Cold Waves in Back-to-Back years)

Nope last year was good for me for at least a solid decade

I'm not sure about that.

Once in around 20 years, in Back-to-back years, a cold wave spills (Or below normal Temperatures) into the CONUS in February.

Here are the Analog years for this: 1935 & 1936, 1954 & 1955, 1977 & 1978, with the last one occurring in 1994 & 1995. All of this was in February