Texas Winter 2021-2022

[Cpv17]

All that cold air up there and the GFS refuses to drive it south!!! Arrgghhh!!!!

Need to see some blocking in Alaska and far western Canada. Not really seeing it yet.

[Iceresistance]

All that cold air up there and the GFS refuses to drive it south!!! Arrgghhh!!!!

The Greenland block is MIA on the GFS & there is no driving mechanism for this.

However, it's building & it's slowly moving for now. This is a step in the right direction if there should be a cold blast coming our way.

Need to see some blocking in Alaska and far western Canada. Not really seeing it yet.

There is blocking in Alaska, but the Greenland block is MIA.

[ElectricStorm]

Like I mentioned above, we're overdue for Back-to-Back February Cold Waves (2 February Cold Waves in Back-to-Back years)

Nope last year was good for me for at least a solid decade

I'm not sure about that.

Once in around 20 years, in Back-to-back years, a cold wave spills (Or below normal Temperatures) into the CONUS in February.

Here are the Analog years for this: 1935 & 1936, 1954 & 1955, 1977 & 1978, with the last one occurring in 1994 & 1995. All of this was in February

Bruh it was a joke lol. That's why I added the

[Cpv17]

All that cold air up there and the GFS refuses to drive it south!!! Arrgghhh!!!!

The Greenland block is MIA on the GFS & there is no driving mechanism for this.

However, it's building & it's slowly moving for now. This is a step in the right direction if there should be a cold blast coming our way.

Need to see some blocking in Alaska and far western Canada. Not really seeing it yet.

There is blocking in Alaska, but the Greenland block is MIA.

I don’t see it. I see a trough in an area close to where there needs to be a ridge. And the GEFS doesn’t really show that changing through 384 hours.



The PNA is too negative.

[wxman57]

18Z GFS is almost saying "what cold front?" next weekend. Euro has temps down to the mid to upper 30s across the DFW area post-frontal. No winter weather in Texas. Big surprise... I'm just not seeing a change that will bring any really cold air south to Texas through December.

[kingwood_tx1999]

18Z GFS is almost saying "what cold front?" next weekend. Euro has temps down to the mid to upper 30s across the DFW area post-frontal. No winter weather in Texas. Big surprise... I'm just not seeing a change that will bring any really cold air south to Texas through December.

And yet here you are..rubbing it in our face..it's almost as if you are enjoying this lol

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[starsfan65]

18Z GFS is almost saying "what cold front?" next weekend. Euro has temps down to the mid to upper 30s across the DFW area post-frontal. No winter weather in Texas. Big surprise... I'm just not seeing a change that will bring any really cold air south to Texas through December.

And yet here you are..rubbing it in our face..it's almost as if you are enjoying this lol

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

It is only 1 run and he is rubbing it in in our face?

[Golf7270]

I think the alutian ridge' is too far west. We definitely need a west based -nao to help us moving forward. I feel that IF the mjo can make it to favorable phases, we will be better shape moving forward.

[starsfan65]

I think the alutian ridge' is too far west. We definitely need a west based -nao to help us moving forward. I feel that IF the mjo can make it to favorable phases, we will be better shape moving forward.

I think the MJO is in the favorable phase.

[Iceresistance]

I think the alutian ridge' is too far west. We definitely need a west based -nao to help us moving forward. I feel that IF the mjo can make it to favorable phases, we will be better shape moving forward.

I think the MJO is in the favorable phase.

It is in the Favorable Phases, but it's moving rather slowly.

[starsfan65]

I think the alutian ridge' is too far west. We definitely need a west based -nao to help us moving forward. I feel that IF the mjo can make it to favorable phases, we will be better shape moving forward.

I think the MJO is in the favorable phase.

It is in the Favorable Phases, but it's moving rather slowly.

slow and steady wins the race

[Ntxw]

18Z GFS is almost saying "what cold front?" next weekend. Euro has temps down to the mid to upper 30s across the DFW area post-frontal. No winter weather in Texas. Big surprise... I'm just not seeing a change that will bring any really cold air south to Texas through December.

Whaaat? No 80s in late December? That is not acceptable sir.

[aggiecutter]

I was without power for 2 weeks, and I was one of the lucky ones. Some people were without power for over a month:

[Cerlin]

I’ll take as many 4 inch, 28° snow storm days as I can get. Let’s just not have any ice or widespread power grid failures this year. My winter obsession can wait if it means we don’t endanger lives.

[Brent]

Delkus tweeted about snow on Christmas

[Cerlin]

Delkus tweeted about snow on Christmas

Definitely just jinxed it right there. The man is cursed…

[AustinTXResident]

Like I mentioned above, we're overdue for Back-to-Back February Cold Waves (2 February Cold Waves in Back-to-Back years)

Nope last year was good for me for at least a solid decade :D

I'm not sure about that.

Once in around 20 years, in Back-to-back years, a cold wave spills (Or below normal Temperatures) into the CONUS in February.

Here are the Analog years for this: 1935 & 1936, 1954 & 1955, 1977 & 1978, with the last one occurring in 1994 & 1995. All of this was in February

How do you define "cold wave"?

[Iceresistance]

Nope last year was good for me for at least a solid decade

I'm not sure about that.

Once in around 20 years, in Back-to-back years, a cold wave spills (Or below normal Temperatures) into the CONUS in February.

Here are the Analog years for this: 1935 & 1936, 1954 & 1955, 1977 & 1978, with the last one occurring in 1994 & 1995. All of this was in February

How do you define "cold wave"?

Surge of cold air coming from the north, causing a rapid drop of Temperatures, & they could stay way below normal for several days.

[NDG]

Two things here: Over all La Nina ridging across the southern States not going away through the end of the year, and with NAO trending more negative over time along with a continuing -PNA ridging gets centered closer to TX. I'm sure wxman57 will appreciate this

[orangeblood]

I think the alutian ridge' is too far west. We definitely need a west based -nao to help us moving forward. I feel that IF the mjo can make it to favorable phases, we will be better shape moving forward.

I think the MJO is in the favorable phase.

It is in the Favorable Phases, but it's moving rather slowly.

It really isn't yet...it's borderline 6/7, for cold and precip you really need Phases 8-1-2 in Dec/Jan. Phase 7 usually is a little colder but fairly dry