Texas Winter 2021-2022

[Iceresistance]

I’m still not totally giving up hope yet. We will have cold air as a source region in Canada and teleconnections are still largely forecasted to be negative from next week through January. I’d like the PNA to be more neutral but I don’t think we’re in a horrible spot. Unless I’m wrong, but I think a negative EPO mixed with a negative NAO should be a good thing for us.

February 2021 had a -PNA & the extreme cold STILL came to Texas with the -NAO, -AO, & -EPO

Correct. Why did it still work out? Blocking on both sides of the arctic. Alaska and Greenland and over the top. Pushed the PV to the US/Canada border. As the upper level lows ran down towards Texas, (they had no other path to take) they pulled down air from the PV towards the gulf coast. Wasn't a massive HP which brought down the cold.

It was not JUST the massive HP, there were 1060 MB HP's in the Arctic that helped to push it down. (And it lead to Below-Zero Temperatures)

[Iceresistance]

Seriously 12z GFS? Now you want to make Heat Miser happy now?

[wxman57]

Seriously 12z GFS? Now you want to make Heat Miser happy now?

Looks way too cold, to me. Colder than yesterday's 12Z.

[kingwood_tx1999]

What's it showing

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[wxman57]

What's it showing

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Highs in Houston Christmas Day only in the lower 70s vs. near 80.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Can we just move to spring if it's going to stay like this?

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I love cold and look forward to winter every year but I’m with you this, this year.

[kingwood_tx1999]

What really suck is I have to keep pulling up all the Christmas decorations in the yard to keep mowing lol..I figured it would've died by now ..but with this weather it just keeps growing

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[rwfromkansas]

You all see the insane wind in Kansas and Colorado? 107 mph gust in southeast CO!

As for the pattern change, it's crazy how you can see the mood change with the whims of the models and the inevitable delays of cold. You see the posts decline when models aren't showing cold also.

It does tend to take a long time for the pattern to change, so it isn't surprising me that it is holding firm longer than it looked like last week. I just hope it changes in January.

If not by mid-January, then I will start to worry. For now, not too upset since I'm used to not getting snow at Christmas anyway. What's another year. There was one year we drove up for my family holiday event and had a blizzard with a foot of snow (our old Prius was literally pushing snow into the driveway, and we had to stop on the interstate to de-ice numerous times because the snow was that heavy and plows couldn't even keep up). But, normally it's mild and dry. Cold and snowy is actually the exception.

[Brent]

I will say one thing... If we ever get cold and get a storm to go with this wind.... this has been a consistent theme for weeks every storm has been super windy

[NDG]

I’m still not totally giving up hope yet. We will have cold air as a source region in Canada and teleconnections are still largely forecasted to be negative from next week through January. I’d like the PNA to be more neutral but I don’t think we’re in a horrible spot. Unless I’m wrong, but I think a negative EPO mixed with a negative NAO should be a good thing for us.

February 2021 had a -PNA & the extreme cold STILL came to Texas with the -NAO, -AO, & -EPO

The NAO was a western based -NAO, not a true Greenland Block which the Arctic air would had slid more to the east.
The pattern protected FL from getting into that Arctic airmass.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Do y'all see the dust storm behind the severe weather system? wow!

[snowballzzz]

The only hope I see for cold weather is the last frame of the 12Z CFS... What a bummer. We need something to break this pattern.

[TheProfessor]

Absolutely insane wind storm here right now, never seen anything like this. Been on midnight shifts for the last week and between today and last Friday it's been pretty tiring (I've been issuing the high wind watches and warnings for my area). Gonna be treating myself to good food tomorrow, a movie, and then a relaxing haircut on Saturday with a head massage and hot shave.

[rwfromkansas]

Absolutely insane wind storm here right now, never seen anything like this. Been on midnight shifts for the last week and between today and last Friday it's been pretty tiring (I've been issuing the high wind watches and warnings for my area). Gonna be treating myself to good food tomorrow, a movie, and then a relaxing haircut on Saturday with a head massage and hot shave.

100 mph gust near where I grew up in KS. Crazy. Never seen anything like it in my life there, just when we lived in West Texas, but this is much worse.

[wxman57]

Absolutely insane wind storm here right now, never seen anything like this. Been on midnight shifts for the last week and between today and last Friday it's been pretty tiring (I've been issuing the high wind watches and warnings for my area). Gonna be treating myself to good food tomorrow, a movie, and then a relaxing haircut on Saturday with a head massage and hot shave.

I remember a storm in the 1980s. It was during the spring, I think. The low was over Oklahoma and we had west wind to 50 kts here in Houston. Stronger wind to our north. Major dust storm in Texas. Maybe 1983? Long time ago.

[Brent]

Absolutely insane wind storm here right now, never seen anything like this. Been on midnight shifts for the last week and between today and last Friday it's been pretty tiring (I've been issuing the high wind watches and warnings for my area). Gonna be treating myself to good food tomorrow, a movie, and then a relaxing haircut on Saturday with a head massage and hot shave.

100 mph gust near where I grew up in KS. Crazy. Never seen anything like it in my life there, just when we lived in West Texas, but this is much worse.

Yeah apparently strongest wind gust in Dodge City history

[Iceresistance]

Absolutely insane wind storm here right now, never seen anything like this. Been on midnight shifts for the last week and between today and last Friday it's been pretty tiring (I've been issuing the high wind watches and warnings for my area). Gonna be treating myself to good food tomorrow, a movie, and then a relaxing haircut on Saturday with a head massage and hot shave.

I remember a storm in the 1980s. It was during the spring, I think. The low was over Oklahoma and we had west wind to 50 kts here in Houston. Stronger wind to our north. Major dust storm in Texas. Maybe 1983? Long time ago.

I know a Custodian (Basically a Janitor, except she monitors the school for damage & unruly students) that she said that there was a very bad Dust Storm in Shawnee, OK in the 1970s.

[Yukon Cornelius]

70° and 70% humidity. Is this spring?

[kingwood_tx1999]

70° and 70% humidity. Is this spring?

Might as well be spring..sure as hell isn't winter

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[Brent]

70° and 70% humidity. Is this spring?

I was saying earlier it felt like a tornado day in April or May..