
Texas Winter 2021-2022
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Any big HP that crashes down from Canada gets me snow and will bring cold for you guys too, so let's keep working on that pattern 

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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Tireman4
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Yukon Cornelius wrote:wxman57 wrote:Highs are back above normal here in Houston and I am back! Safe to go outside again. My wall has been reinforced and should prevent any similar cold air intrusions this month.
It must not be holding that well since Thursday’s high is suppose to be around freezing with a low in mid teens and single digit windchills.
If a model says 80s for highs in January, it is nails. If it says 30s for highs, it is on crack..lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
wxman57 wrote:Brent wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:It must not be holding that well since Thursday’s high is suppose to be around freezing with a low in mid teens and single digit windchills.
Haha right.. mid 20s here. That's actually colder than the highs this weekendSaturday had an early high and then Sunday actually got close to 32
Don't care what the temps are way up north closer to Canada where you two live. The high will be near 70 here in Houston Thursday, in the 60s Friday, and near 80 Saturday and Sunday.
I guess we’ll see aboot that now eh.
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#neversummer
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
12z GFS has multiple Winter Storms across the Southern Plains starting at +306 Hours to the end of the run
(The first storm is HUGE! 15-18 inches of snow for Wichita, Kansas, 9-11 inches for Tulsa, OK, & 2-8 inches for OKC.)
(The first storm is HUGE! 15-18 inches of snow for Wichita, Kansas, 9-11 inches for Tulsa, OK, & 2-8 inches for OKC.)
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Iceresistance wrote:12z GFS has multiple Winter Storms across the Southern Plains starting at +306 Hours to the end of the run
(The first storm is HUGE! 15-18 inches of snow for Wichita, Kansas, 9-11 inches for Tulsa, OK, & 2-8 inches for OKC.)
The upper-air pattern then doesn't indicate the air will be particularly cold. GFS is likely way overdoing the winter weather. After above-normal temps here in SE TX Sat/Sun, temps look only a little above normal for the next week or two. Not the 11-12F above normal that we all enjoyed in December. Unfortunately, the 30-deg temps here Sun/Mon appear to have killed my big banana trees. Some were nearly a foot in diameter. Lots of cutting down to do. That's what sub-freezing air is good for - nothing.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
wxman57 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:12z GFS has multiple Winter Storms across the Southern Plains starting at +306 Hours to the end of the run
(The first storm is HUGE! 15-18 inches of snow for Wichita, Kansas, 9-11 inches for Tulsa, OK, & 2-8 inches for OKC.)
The upper-air pattern then doesn't indicate the air will be particularly cold. GFS is likely way overdoing the winter weather. After above-normal temps here in SE TX Sat/Sun, temps look only a little above normal for the next week or two. Not the 11-12F above normal that we all enjoyed in December. Unfortunately, the 30-deg temps here Sun/Mon appear to have killed my big banana trees. Some were nearly a foot in diameter. Lots of cutting down to do. That's what sub-freezing air is good for - nothing.
For SE Texas, there is no cold air expected down there, for now . . . I'm mostly focused on the broader view in the Southern Plains, also for now
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Iceresistance wrote:For SE Texas, there is no cold air expected down there, for now . . . I'm mostly focused on the broader view in the Southern Plains, also for now
You can have your cold up north. Meanwhile, I'm enjoying the mid to upper 70s here in Houston today.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
wxman57 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:For SE Texas, there is no cold air expected down there, for now . . . I'm mostly focused on the broader view in the Southern Plains, also for now
You can have your cold up north. Meanwhile, I'm enjoying the mid to upper 70s here in Houston today.
I'm expecting Highs in the Mid-20s with Wind Chills near 0 Tomorrow, but Houston is going to be in the 70s Tomorrow as well . . .

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
wxman57 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:For SE Texas, there is no cold air expected down there, for now . . . I'm mostly focused on the broader view in the Southern Plains, also for now
You can have your cold up north. Meanwhile, I'm enjoying the mid to upper 70s here in Houston today.
I’m outside pressure washing at my job right now in Rosenberg. It actually feels pretty good out. Humidity isn’t that bad and there’s a cool breeze.
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- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Iceresistance wrote:wxman57 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:For SE Texas, there is no cold air expected down there, for now . . . I'm mostly focused on the broader view in the Southern Plains, also for now
You can have your cold up north. Meanwhile, I'm enjoying the mid to upper 70s here in Houston today.
I'm expecting Highs in the Mid-20s with Wind Chills near 0 Tomorrow, but Houston is going to be in the 70s Tomorrow as well . . .
There's about a 500 mile distance between you and Houston, which is significant when discussing temperatures in the winter. That's about the same distance as Dallas to Topeka (Salina is a bit closer actually) and you can imagine how much colder and snowier Topeka is than Dallas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Hopefully that 12z GFS is a sign of things to come at least... If we're gonna have wind chills near zero I want some snow with it :lol
Although the bit about Oklahoma being up north is making me laugh
Although the bit about Oklahoma being up north is making me laugh

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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Brent wrote:Hopefully that 12z GFS is a sign of things to come at least... If we're gonna have wind chills near zero I want some snow with it :lol
Although the bit about Oklahoma being up north is making me laugh
Well compared to where me and 57 are, y’all are dang near halfway to Canada lol
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
TheProfessor wrote:Iceresistance wrote:wxman57 wrote:
You can have your cold up north. Meanwhile, I'm enjoying the mid to upper 70s here in Houston today.
I'm expecting Highs in the Mid-20s with Wind Chills near 0 Tomorrow, but Houston is going to be in the 70s Tomorrow as well . . .
There's about a 500 mile distance between you and Houston, which is significant when discussing temperatures in the winter. That's about the same distance as Dallas to Topeka (Salina is a bit closer actually) and you can imagine how much colder and snowier Topeka is than Dallas.
Don’t remind me…
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
cheezyWXguy wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Iceresistance wrote:
I'm expecting Highs in the Mid-20s with Wind Chills near 0 Tomorrow, but Houston is going to be in the 70s Tomorrow as well . . .
There's about a 500 mile distance between you and Houston, which is significant when discussing temperatures in the winter. That's about the same distance as Dallas to Topeka (Salina is a bit closer actually) and you can imagine how much colder and snowier Topeka is than Dallas.
Don’t remind me…
Lol even up here I think there's only been I think 3 snowless winters since 1900
And all were before 1910
Technically we've already had flurries I guess

Last edited by Brent on Wed Jan 05, 2022 11:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#neversummer
- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Brent wrote:Hopefully that 12z GFS is a sign of things to come at least... If we're gonna have wind chills near zero I want some snow with it :lol
Although the bit about Oklahoma being up north is making me laugh
The 18Z GFS surface matches the flow pattern better than the 12Z.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
First morning back in Norman this year and wind chills are currently at -2…it is COLD out there.



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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Cerlin wrote:First morning back in Norman this year and wind chills are currently at -2…it is COLD out there.![]()
Does it seem like that the cold was just waiting for you?

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- snowballzzz
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
End of the 00z Euro today hinting at a storm system that brings a bit of cold weather and mixed precip to North/NW Texas on 1/15. Obviously far out and does not look like an arctic air mass in place at this time, but nice to see the hints here and there of actual winter weather and even actual precip in general. Most models hinting at a few systems over the next couple of weeks, so fingers crossed for even a bit of rain. We need it!
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- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Didn't get to cash in on the heavier snow band that dropped 2-4" of snow 20-30 miles north of me, but it's still snowing here with a decent bit on the ground already so it's going to be a nice system for us overall.
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022
Low 60s this morning in Houston. Cold front should reach us by noon. Quick turn-around to onshore flow tomorrow, warming us back up. GFS runs after yesterday's 12Z snowmageddon run are more reasonable looking. The surface features match the upper-air flow. That wasn't the case with yesterday's 12Z GFS. Euro doesn't indicate any real cold air down here in SE TX over the next 10 days. Low into the upper 30s one day. Temps a little above normal.
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