Texas Winter 2021-2022

[Iceresistance]

Does next week’s setup look about the same in terms of temperature/precip/duration as the storm we had in the beginning of February?

Winter weather looks much farther north. Generally, across the Red River in Oklahoma and Kansas. Can't rule out a snowflake or sleet pellet down to the D-FW area. Not nearly as severe as early February.

I want what he is drinking. 57 might need some Texas whiskey to warm up the bones starting next week.

Or better yet, get his Hypersonic Jet to flee to Australia!

[gboudx]

Does next week’s setup look about the same in terms of temperature/precip/duration as the storm we had in the beginning of February?

Winter weather looks much farther north. Generally, across the Red River in Oklahoma and Kansas. Can't rule out a snowflake or sleet pellet down to the D-FW area. Not nearly as severe as early February.

Thanks. Good to see it won’t be as bad as recently.

[Iceresistance]

Does next week’s setup look about the same in terms of temperature/precip/duration as the storm we had in the beginning of February?

Winter weather looks much farther north. Generally, across the Red River in Oklahoma and Kansas. Can't rule out a snowflake or sleet pellet down to the D-FW area. Not nearly as severe as early February.

Thanks. Good to see it won’t be as bad as recently.

But only time will tell if that's the case, this Winter's main feature is surprises.

[HockeyTx82]

Does next week’s setup look about the same in terms of temperature/precip/duration as the storm we had in the beginning of February?

Winter weather looks much farther north. Generally, across the Red River in Oklahoma and Kansas. Can't rule out a snowflake or sleet pellet down to the D-FW area. Not nearly as severe as early February.

Thanks. Good to see it won’t be as bad as recently.

You serious Clark?

[Haris]

18z euro really increasing moisture with wave 1.

If this is just “minor impacts” , I gotta bridge to sell ya

[losf1981]

Does next week’s setup look about the same in terms of temperature/precip/duration as the storm we had in the beginning of February?

Winter weather looks much farther north. Generally, across the Red River in Oklahoma and Kansas. Can't rule out a snowflake or sleet pellet down to the D-FW area. Not nearly as severe as early February.

I want what he is drinking. 57 might need some Texas whiskey to warm up the bones starting next week.

Seems like some wishful thinking from 57!

[Iceresistance]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/w7WgDCX/7-E355-E60-DC2-E-479-F-AFEB-545017-DEF6-B9.jpg [/url]
[url]https://i.ibb.co/jgrZnSb/A3520-F9-F-DD34-490-A-AB3-C-BEF5-CF1502-E7.jpg [/url]

18z euro really increasing moisture with wave 1.

If this is just “minor impacts” , I gotta bridge to sell ya

I don't think that this is 'Minor Impacts'

This is closer to "Moderate Impacts" to "High Impacts", that is a lot of Ice/Sleet/Snow.

[gboudx]

Winter weather looks much farther north. Generally, across the Red River in Oklahoma and Kansas. Can't rule out a snowflake or sleet pellet down to the D-FW area. Not nearly as severe as early February.

Thanks. Good to see it won’t be as bad as recently.

You serious Clark?

I’m just following wxman57’s lead. If he starts squawking about it, I’ll pay attention. Let’s see if the Cold Miser avatar returns.

[Brent]

Does next week’s setup look about the same in terms of temperature/precip/duration as the storm we had in the beginning of February?

Winter weather looks much farther north. Generally, across the Red River in Oklahoma and Kansas. Can't rule out a snowflake or sleet pellet down to the D-FW area. Not nearly as severe as early February.

Okay

Yeah because I'm sure the models are exactly right a week out

[mcallum177]

Steve McCauley just posted on board

[Brent]

Major ice storm on the Euro. I bet he saw the Euro too

[Cpv17]

Man this place sure is pretty quiet.

[Brent]

Man this place sure is pretty quiet.

Just wait til they see the Euro

[SnowintheFalls]

Man this place sure is pretty quiet.

Just wait til they see the Euro

What is the Euro showing?

[Texas Snow]

Similar to the GFS yesterday. It has a very sharp temperature gradient just east of the metroplex like models did for the last storm. Of course the last storm didn’t turn out to be accurate in that respect so we’ll just have to see how more details get ironed out in all the models over the coming days.

[wxman57]

What is the Euro showing?

Euro keeps all snow confined to the TX Panhandle and Oklahoma. Same with the GFS and Canadian. Doesn't look like a repeat of earlier this month. Temps might reach the upper 20s here in Houston with a high in the 40s. Cold air will not be as deep, which makes rain vs. snow more likely. No upper-level disturbance moving across TX with the cold air in place. Looks more similar to the systems in January.

[Texas Snowman]

Fort Worth NWS this morning…

“Our attention then turns to our next potentially impactful weather event mid to late next week. A strong cold front is expected to arrive on Tuesday, bringing a much colder airmass back to the region. On Wednesday, a potent mid-level trough will sweep eastward through the Four Corners Region. As this occurs, warm, moist ascent atop the shallow cold front will ensue, resulting in the development of showers and potentially a wintry mix. This set up will continue for perhaps a day or two as the trough steadily approaches from the west. By Thursday or Friday, the trough should eject to the northeast, bringing an end to any ongoing precipitation. As this is still 5-7 days out, many questions have yet to be answered, including (1) how cold the airmass will be, (2) how long rain and/or wintry precipitation will last, and (3)how much, if any, wintry precipitation will accumulate. These questions will be answered in the coming days, but until then, the forecast can and will change. Stay up to date with the latest forecast details over the next several days.”

[Iceresistance]

The Normally conservative Euro (0z) gives me 8-10 inches of snow next week . . .

[orangeblood]

What is the Euro showing?

Euro keeps all snow confined to the TX Panhandle and Oklahoma. Same with the GFS and Canadian. Doesn't look like a repeat of earlier this month. Temps might reach the upper 20s here in Houston with a high in the 40s. Cold air will not be as deep, which makes rain vs. snow more likely. No upper-level disturbance moving across TX with the cold air in place. Looks more similar to the systems in January.

Yeah, the QPF doesn’t look nearly as high as early Feb however temps look to be plenty cold for the northern half of the state. Looks more of a nasty light drizzle/freezing rain event for some which sometimes is more dangerous. But agree that majority of the UL energy is focused to the north at this time but still too early to call

[Texas Snowman]

Larry Cosgrove on FB: “ Next week will be tough. All of the elements that make for a crazed weather forecast will be in play, starting on President's Day and lasting until the end of the month.

By now you have heard about the mammoth cold intrusion from Siberia, which will ooze out of Canada this weekend, then make a mad dash for the Gulf Coast and Mexican border. The formation of an Alaska/Yukon block starts to take shape next Wednesday and Thursday, creating a cross-polar flow aloft that will take a regime from Siberia into the lower 48 states. Also helping in this process is a broad, neutral-tilt, full-latitude trough at 500MB, spawning low pressure in the Texas Panhandle. It looks like that cyclone will be big wind producer as it tracks through New York State and then into New Brunswick by February 27.

But it is the precipitation array that draws your attention. Severe thunderstorm and torrential rainfall in parts of Dixie; heavy snow from the central Great Plains through the lower Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Valley; and the potential threat for a freezing rain/sleet event from N TX into middle and upper Appalachia.

Now add onto this mess the ongoing high wind potential, Arctic air mass, and the weakening of the protective heat ridge in Florida and the Bahamas. That action leaves the door open for yet another storm to impact Texas, the Deep South, and the Eastern Seaboard. With the blocking ridge at its strongest in the first week of next month, it is unlikely that any serious moderation will get underway in the lower 48 states before March 10.

Have a nice holiday weekend, everyone!”