Texas Winter 2021-2022

[Cpv17]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

I do believe that we're not seeing any more Major Winter Storm systems after the ThunderSleet event, could see minor winter weather events through Mid-March & maybe April, but, this is it.

I agree with the models - winter is over for Texas (freezing/frozen precip, anyway). Severe weather season is on the horizon.

Can we just have rain, skip the severe stuff, and go straight to Summer? I'll trade you a hot September into early October if you can not let us have severe weather...... Deal?

That sounds boring. I love severe weather. It excites me! But of course where I live we don’t really get tornadoes around here and if we do they’re pretty weak. In fact, I’ve never even seen a tornado in my life. I saw a funnel once but that’s it. We don’t really get bad hail around here either. Biggest hail I’ve seen here was maybe between marble and golf ball size.

[Cerlin]

Norman’s at 67 hours below freezing consecutively. It’s gonna be close for getting above freezing today but the relatively thick ice pack should help that.

[Brent]

And to think the Euro had you reaching a high of 77F yesterday from 48 hrs out/also had DFW with 0.40 inch precip ended up with 0.01 inch ….2 winters in a row of the worst model performances you’ll ever see, throw that model out with the garbage particularly during winter months. It is really really bad!

Yeah, as I posted here on Monday, I did not buy the front stalling just to our north as per the GFS & Euro. Cold, dense air just doesn't stop moving south near Houston.

If memory serves correct, you also posted a couple of weeks ago that you believed winter was over for the most part and Brent would be chasing tornadoes.

He might have been…if it weren’t for those darn snow plows getting in the way.

Lol that and the sheets of ice on some of these neighborhood streets

Not gonna lie I can't wait for those 60s next week

[CaptinCrunch]

So far the temp @ DFW has made it to 37, if it caps out there that 4 degrees below forecasted high. I also think over night temps will be 2 or 3 degrees cooler than advertised making it a better chance to see freezing precipitation across the area after midnight thru Noon Saturday.

[Portastorm]

Not sure if this verifies for North Texas, but our local NWS office in New Braunfels had an interesting comment about the hi-res model QPF outputs lately:

"We`d like to advise against taking hi-res model ice accumulation maps at face value, as they've consistently been overblown this week and during most of our winter events this season."

[bubba hotep]

Not sure if this verifies for North Texas, but our local NWS office in New Braunfels had an interesting comment about the hi-res model QPF outputs lately:

"We`d like to advise against taking hi-res model ice accumulation maps at face value, as they've consistently been overblown this week and during most of our winter events this season."

Accretion of ice is hard to model. With this last system, the models had too much qpf in many areas, so obviously that made the freezing rain outputs not match up. The prior storm for DFW, IIRC, a lot of areas received more precipitation than models were showing but it was mostly as sleet and not freezing rain.

[TheProfessor]

Up to 30 here. If we stay below 32 degrees I do believe we will end up pretty close to 100 hours below freezing. Not bad. Got 0.7" of snow yesterday. It's already gone, but it was the pretty fluffy stuff.

[Haris]

So far the temp @ DFW has made it to 37, if it caps out there that 4 degrees below forecasted high. I also think over night temps will be 2 or 3 degrees cooler than advertised making it a better chance to see freezing precipitation across the area after midnight thru Noon Saturday.

Temps in DFW are 4-5 colder than NAM, and 2-3 from HRRR. Bears watch

[HockeyTx82]

After melting and getting a total over three days my rain bucket counted .03" of liquid since this storm started.

[Ralph's Weather]

There have been some reports of sleet in East Texas today. Temps are in the mid to upper 30s.

[Iceresistance]

My road got Plowed today.

[cheezyWXguy]

Looks like spring goes into full effect next week with rebounding temps and some severe threat on the horizon. 18z gfs looks to a show a couple at least low end events in the first half of March

[wxman57]

Looks like spring goes into full effect next week with rebounding temps and some severe threat on the horizon. 18z gfs looks to a show a couple at least low end events in the first half of March

...and we know what follows spring! The best season of the year!

[gpsnowman]

WWA for Dallas County for tomorrow. Freezing rain maybe some sleet.

[TropicalTundra]

Is anyone in DFW or around the metroplex getting any frozen precip? Radar looks interesting around there.

[bubba hotep]

WWA for Dallas County for tomorrow. Freezing rain maybe some sleet.

[gpsnowman]

Is anyone in DFW or around the metroplex getting any frozen precip? Radar looks interesting around there.

Still above freezing here but we are now under a WWA from 4 to 12 noon tomorrow.

[Cpv17]

Looks like spring goes into full effect next week with rebounding temps and some severe threat on the horizon. 18z gfs looks to a show a couple at least low end events in the first half of March

...and we know what follows spring! The best season of the year!

I think you’re slightly outnumbered on that on this board.

[bubba hotep]

Is anyone in DFW or around the metroplex getting any frozen precip? Radar looks interesting around there.

Lower levels are pretty dry, surface is above freezing and there is only a very thin subfreezing layer above the surface before going back above freezing. Probably will take some time to saturate before anything can make it to the ground.

[rwfromkansas]

My wife has an event in the morning to attend at 10. Is it safe? That WWA came out of nowhere. I thought it would not cause travel issues based on what I saw yesterday. They seem to have ramped up.