94S INVEST 220317 1800 7.0S 93.0E SHEM 15 0
SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Depression
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
Cat 1.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
GFS and ECMWF have been really confident in a potent system for over a week, and it’s evolution has been remarkably quick so far. Am confident this one will be yet another major hurricane.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
The way this is rotating convection and given how cold the cloud tops are this is probably a Category 2 now and will make a run at Category 4 or 5 before shear kicks in tomorrow.
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
Yellow Evan wrote:https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/733552978572869632/956622260284850236/22S_CA.gif
The way this is rotating convection and given how cold the cloud tops are this is probably a Category 2 now and will make a run at Category 4 or 5 before shear kicks in tomorrow.
JTWC agrees. The 18z BT intensity has been raised to 90 kt. Odds are good it becomes a 115-125 kt Cat 4 tomorrow.
Also, where is that satellite imagery from?
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Hurricane2021
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
aspen wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/733552978572869632/956622260284850236/22S_CA.gif
The way this is rotating convection and given how cold the cloud tops are this is probably a Category 2 now and will make a run at Category 4 or 5 before shear kicks in tomorrow.
Also, where is that satellite imagery from?
IR-CA
https://www.typhoon.chat/satellite/floater/
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
20z high-res microwave pass shows a pretty good inner core. The only issue facing Halima is that the SE eyewall is thin.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Yellow Evan
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
Up to 120 kts.
22S HALIMA 220325 1200 13.9S 73.5E SHEM 120 933
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Iceresistance
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
cycloneye wrote:Up to 120 kts.22S HALIMA 220325 1200 13.9S 73.5E SHEM 120 933
https://i.imgur.com/FbdPIR2.gif
I'd say that's a good call from the JTWC, they noted a rapidly improving structure with a clear eye.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Yellow Evan
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
Coming down fast now due to shear. Dvorak never passed 6.0 so not confident it was much higher than 120-125.
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Iceresistance
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Tropical Cyclone
Halima has lost the Eye, I can't find it anymore. (Saw it collapse on Windy)
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Hurricane2021
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Severe Tropical Storm
115 kt 10-min = 130 - 135 kt (right?)
Halima will be the strongest cyclone in this season
https://twitter.com/EKMeteo/status/1507703578437332998
Halima will be the strongest cyclone in this season
https://twitter.com/EKMeteo/status/1507703578437332998
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Iceresistance
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Re: SIO: HALIMA - Severe Tropical Storm
Being sheared apart very quickly already
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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