Texas Spring 2022

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cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1181 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Apr 12, 2022 3:41 pm

Something is trying to go up over Eastland. Given its location directly west of dfw, I would be concerned about it’s impacts if it, or anything that develops in that area, manages to root into the surface layer
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1182 Postby Edwards Limestone » Tue Apr 12, 2022 3:45 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1183 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Apr 12, 2022 3:50 pm

Radar is not picking up the dry line in Oklahoma, did it pass me already? Or has it not shown itself yet?
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1184 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:06 pm

Latest HRRR looks to have this cluster pass south of Dallas and nothing for the northern burbs.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1185 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:20 pm

Tornado Watch in effect for Central, Northern, Southern Texas.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1186 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:20 pm

Starting to fill in, but need more north for DFW to get in on it if you want it.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1187 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:22 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Tornado Watch in effect for Central, Northern, Southern Texas.


Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1188 Postby EnnisTx » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:23 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Tornado Watch in effect for Central, Northern, Southern Texas.


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FQLEZfpUYAEUWnu?format=jpg&name=medium


I20 and South
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1189 Postby Edwards Limestone » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:28 pm

Storms seem to be struggling to get surface-based down here. Lots of convective initiation, but not really sustaining yet.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1190 Postby Brent » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:38 pm

Some of those storms southwest of DFW are starting to get suspicious looking
Last edited by Brent on Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1191 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:40 pm

Delkus is on the job.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1192 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:42 pm

Brent wrote:Some of those storms southwest of DFW are starting to get suspicious looking


It's going to merge with the smaller cell out in front of it. However, it looks like the cluster to the south is starting to build northward, so that probably overtakes that little hook cell later on.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1193 Postby UTSARoadrunner4 » Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:54 pm

Storm near UTSA got a “Special Weather Statement” for 40 MPH winds and Nickel Size Hail. Only storm so far that’s sustaining itself down here. Probably should be something to worry about to for points to the NE.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1194 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:04 pm

Might be a tornado on the ground north of Killeen. Small CC drop.

EDIT: Just went tor warned
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1195 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:17 pm

I will maybe get the northern edge, but it’s a close call. The storm heading to Tarrant is expanding north as it goes east like the FV3 showed today actually. It is getting large.

Edit…it is tracking more NE and becoming discrete. Uh oh.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1196 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:21 pm

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
514 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

TXC027-099-122245-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0033.000000T0000Z-220412T2245Z/
Coryell TX-Bell TX-
514 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL CORYELL AND NORTH CENTRAL BELL COUNTIES...

At 513 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Fort Gates, or 8
miles south of Gatesville, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central Coryell and north central Bell Counties, including the
following locations... Oglesby.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter now! Get to an interior room on the lowest floor
of a sturdy building and avoid windows.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3133 9784 3145 9751 3132 9742 3124 9734
3124 9781
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 223DEG 21KT 3132 9776

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1197 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:24 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:I will maybe get the northern edge, but it’s a close call. The storm heading to Tarrant is expanding north as it goes east like the FV3 showed today actually. It is getting large.

Edit…it is tracking more NE and becoming discrete. Uh oh.


Uh Oh is right when there's a lonely Supercell, & Lonely Supercells are more dangerous because they have more unimpeded inflow & will be more likely produce tornadoes.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1198 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:27 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
522 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
North central Williamson County in south central Texas...

* Until 545 PM CDT.

* At 520 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Florence, or 15 miles northwest of Serenada,
moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Florence.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3090 9775 3087 9762 3086 9762 3084 9788
3086 9788 3091 9783
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 255DEG 22KT 3088 9783

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1199 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:27 pm

Storms coming into Western Fort Worth, looks like the Entire Metroplex will get rained on.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#1200 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:29 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
524 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Bell County in central Texas...

* Until 615 PM CDT.

* At 524 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located near Florence, or 15 miles southwest of Harker
Heights, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

This includes Interstate 35 between mile markers 277 and 291.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3083 9753 3087 9763 3091 9783 3095 9785
3116 9748 3083 9745
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 248DEG 26KT 3089 9780

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.


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