Texas Spring 2022

[Iceresistance]

New Drought monitor is out. I would like to have someone compare it to the previous week's monitor, looks like a strong improvement.

[Ntxw]

New Drought monitor is out. I would like to have someone compare it to the previous week's monitor, looks like a strong improvement.

For Texas there was improvement by a few percentage points in the lower drought categories. The change was most evident in North Texas near the Red River. The higher end droughts remain similar or slightly expanded. For Oklahoma was a similar situation. I wouldn't say strong improvement, but gradual. As noted before, the drought situation is long term so getting rainfall this time of year isn't enough to erase it, though any is really beneficial, but you need frequent extra rainfall above normal to really cut the numbers.

From the latest data.

Texas






Oklahoma

[captainbarbossa19]

New Drought monitor is out. I would like to have someone compare it to the previous week's monitor, looks like a strong improvement.

For Texas there was improvement by a few percentage points in the lower drought categories. The change was most evident in North Texas near the Red River. The higher end droughts remain similar or slightly expanded. For Oklahoma was a similar situation. I wouldn't say strong improvement, but gradual. As noted before, the drought situation is long term so getting rainfall this time of year isn't enough to erase it, though any is really beneficial, but you need frequent extra rainfall above normal to really cut the numbers.

From the latest data.

Texas

https://i.imgur.com/5krJfkd.png

https://i.imgur.com/pdktThP.png


Oklahoma

https://i.imgur.com/x82kxTl.png

https://i.imgur.com/1EogypW.png

The latest map does not make much sense to me. It must be basing conditions more off of meteorology versus ground conditions. Some areas received enough rain that there should have been more relief.

[Iceresistance]

New Drought monitor is out. I would like to have someone compare it to the previous week's monitor, looks like a strong improvement.

For Texas there was improvement by a few percentage points in the lower drought categories. The change was most evident in North Texas near the Red River. The higher end droughts remain similar or slightly expanded. For Oklahoma was a similar situation. I wouldn't say strong improvement, but gradual. As noted before, the drought situation is long term so getting rainfall this time of year isn't enough to erase it, though any is really beneficial, but you need frequent extra rainfall above normal to really cut the numbers.

From the latest data.

Texas

https://i.imgur.com/5krJfkd.png

https://i.imgur.com/pdktThP.png


Oklahoma

https://i.imgur.com/x82kxTl.png

https://i.imgur.com/1EogypW.png

The latest map does not make much sense to me. It must be basing conditions more off of meteorology versus ground conditions. Some areas received enough rain that there should have been more relief.

Some areas did not have the rainfall fully soaked in to the soil or they're thinking that the Drought is posed to return with a vengeance.

[Ntxw]

New Drought monitor is out. I would like to have someone compare it to the previous week's monitor, looks like a strong improvement.

For Texas there was improvement by a few percentage points in the lower drought categories. The change was most evident in North Texas near the Red River. The higher end droughts remain similar or slightly expanded. For Oklahoma was a similar situation. I wouldn't say strong improvement, but gradual. As noted before, the drought situation is long term so getting rainfall this time of year isn't enough to erase it, though any is really beneficial, but you need frequent extra rainfall above normal to really cut the numbers.

From the latest data.

Texas

https://i.imgur.com/5krJfkd.png

https://i.imgur.com/pdktThP.png


Oklahoma

https://i.imgur.com/x82kxTl.png

https://i.imgur.com/1EogypW.png

The latest map does not make much sense to me. It must be basing conditions more off of meteorology versus ground conditions. Some areas received enough rain that there should have been more relief.

For some areas (that have already seen some rainfall) there was good improvements but the dry areas didn't see much gain so net gain coverage wise doesn't seem as impressive. PDSI still has a relatively dry long term drought. If we continue with more rainfall the improvements will speed up, that's if they are frequent. Take DFW for example, as great as it was, it was only 2 big events in April and if no rain falls by 12am Sunday then April comes in with another deficit month.

[Iceresistance]

I'm having a hard time believing this, but the 12z Euro has 7-10 inches of rain in the next 10 days for DFW.

[Texoz]

I'm having a hard time believing this, but the 12z Euro has 7-10 inches of rain in the next 10 days for DFW.

For the first time in a long time I see chances of rain for at least 6 days in a row for Austin, starting Saturday.

[Brent]

Even up here in Oklahoma definitely the most active pattern I've seen in forever. Had a little rain this morning(that spawned a gust front or something we had some crazy wind around lunch that actually caused some damage nearby). Tree on a house about a half mile from my apartment. Even as windy as this month has been that was definitely one of the bigger events

Then it cleared out fast and was a beautiful afternoon(I had the patio open for hours) go figure

[ElectricStorm]

0z GFS says the first week of May could be pretty dang active for severe weather. Anything after 5/2 is still up in the air though but it will be something to watch.

[cstrunk]

0z GFS says the first week of May could be pretty dang active for severe weather. Anything after 5/2 is still up in the air though but it will be something to watch.

I'm flying from Longview to Dallas to Omaha next Thursday... and back the following Monday.

I've already "slept" in the DFW airport twice in my life, guess I'll just start preparing myself for a 3rd time...

[Iceresistance]

0z GFS says the first week of May could be pretty dang active for severe weather. Anything after 5/2 is still up in the air though but it will be something to watch.

5/4 is now showing severe storms for Oklahoma, even though that I'm going to be in Florida during all of that, that might change when I get back from there during Mid to Late May.

[Ntxw]

Small line might cross Oklahoma tonight but probably won't survive into North Texas.

Late weekend qpf has been diminishing on the models, a more random localized higher qpf but broadly looking maybe 0.5 to 0.75.

[ElectricStorm]

0z GFS says the first week of May could be pretty dang active for severe weather. Anything after 5/2 is still up in the air though but it will be something to watch.

5/4 is now showing severe storms for Oklahoma, even though that I'm going to be in Florida during all of that, that might change when I get back from there during Mid to Late May.

Yep and I think 5/5 will be highlighted as well for the same general area in the next couple outlooks. Active week for sure.

[rwfromkansas]

Driving to Kansas to see my dad and Reed Timmer is setting up close to my hometown it sounds like. Looks potentially nasty.

[bubba hotep]

I know the main focus is farther north but I wouldn't be surprised to see a cell or two pop off in SW OK or NW Texas this afternoon.

[bubba hotep]

[ElectricStorm]

The tor watch in OK says 5in hail possible. DVD size. Wow I've never seen that before

[Ntxw]

The dry line in the south (OK and TX) hasn't produced. A few tried in OK but fizzled out.

[ElectricStorm]

And the cap in OK wins yet again. The name of the game this year. Tor watch for everyone except N OK canceled

[rwfromkansas]

The storms fired just east of me in KS.

Andover got hit by a tornado tonight again.

I was 5 minutes behind Reed Timmer getting gasoline. Lol.

Now I’m in a dust storm warning. Rare for central Kansas. Shows how dry it’s been.