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12Z EURO much more believable for June
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That's a lot of members in the Gulf
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SFLcane wrote:Lots of broad/sloppy lows. Classic June Gulf system
skyline385 wrote:12Z ensembles, couple of strong members on the Euro.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/2b9cac4e6316a7af12e46e1b72e5b222.jpg
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/9e4d0ea280f23dac6c62892d5899189e.jpg
Cpv17 wrote:skyline385 wrote:12Z ensembles, couple of strong members on the Euro.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/2b9cac4e6316a7af12e46e1b72e5b222.jpg
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/9e4d0ea280f23dac6c62892d5899189e.jpg
57 is pretty confident this will just get buried into Mexico
Cpv17 wrote:skyline385 wrote:12Z ensembles, couple of strong members on the Euro.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/2b9cac4e6316a7af12e46e1b72e5b222.jpg
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/9e4d0ea280f23dac6c62892d5899189e.jpg
57 is pretty confident this will just get buried into Mexico
Cpv17 wrote:SFLcane wrote:Lots of broad/sloppy lows. Classic June Gulf system
Wouldn’t this be the third year in a row we’ve had an EPAC crossover into the BOC around this same time of year?
SFLcane wrote:Lots of broad/sloppy lows. Classic June Gulf system
skyline385 wrote:Cpv17 wrote:skyline385 wrote:12Z ensembles, couple of strong members on the Euro.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/2b9cac4e6316a7af12e46e1b72e5b222.jpg
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/9e4d0ea280f23dac6c62892d5899189e.jpg
57 is pretty confident this will just get buried into MexicoCpv17 wrote:skyline385 wrote:12Z ensembles, couple of strong members on the Euro.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/2b9cac4e6316a7af12e46e1b72e5b222.jpg
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/9e4d0ea280f23dac6c62892d5899189e.jpg
57 is pretty confident this will just get buried into Mexico
Well it does suit climo pretty well
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220524/17a6b914516a0a13784eb06754772308.jpg
AlphaToOmega wrote:Something looks like it could develop in the Bay of Campeche on either May 31 or June 1.
wxman57 wrote:GFS does not look like it has a clue beyond the next 5-7 days, but I take notice when the Euro indicates a low in the BoC next Tue-Wed. However, both models indicate a quite hostile environment north of the BoC. The low on the Euro looks subtropical after day 7. For now, I'd say maybe a 20% chance of Alex in the BoC next Wed-Thu. Nothing to indicate anything strong. Possibly a weak, sheared TS. If it tracks north, the environment is very hostile. I'll be in San Antonio for a presentation next Tuesday and we have 4 drills to present on Wednesday. Good timing... NOT!
Hurricane2021 wrote:GFS is forecasting a Sub-940 mbar hurricane in 120 hours and a brutal weakening before landfall in Mexico![]()
Cpv17 wrote:wxman57 wrote:GFS does not look like it has a clue beyond the next 5-7 days, but I take notice when the Euro indicates a low in the BoC next Tue-Wed. However, both models indicate a quite hostile environment north of the BoC. The low on the Euro looks subtropical after day 7. For now, I'd say maybe a 20% chance of Alex in the BoC next Wed-Thu. Nothing to indicate anything strong. Possibly a weak, sheared TS. If it tracks north, the environment is very hostile. I'll be in San Antonio for a presentation next Tuesday and we have 4 drills to present on Wednesday. Good timing... NOT!
I don’t think many people would complain about south Texas getting a sloppy ts to give us some drought/heat relief.
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