ATL: ALEX - Post-Tropical

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Hurricane Mike
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#181 Postby Hurricane Mike » Thu Jun 02, 2022 4:10 pm

Rainfall will probably be a greater threat than previously expected if this slow motion continues.
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#182 Postby Ian2401 » Thu Jun 02, 2022 4:15 pm

Hurricane Mike wrote:Rainfall will probably be a greater threat than previously expected if this slow motion continues.


Is it moving slower than forecasted?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#183 Postby chaser1 » Thu Jun 02, 2022 4:22 pm

Sciencerocks wrote:Looks like it is over land and based on surface obs and recon I'd say it is probably closed. The question is will the nhc upgrade a system over land and without convection within 100 miles.


Never stopped them before
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#184 Postby KirbyDude25 » Thu Jun 02, 2022 4:25 pm

chaser1 wrote:
Sciencerocks wrote:Looks like it is over land and based on surface obs and recon I'd say it is probably closed. The question is will the nhc upgrade a system over land and without convection within 100 miles.


Never stopped them before

I mean, they upgraded PTC 3 to Claudette last year after it made landfall in Louisiana, and TS Kate existed and had a name while being a pizza slice made of clouds, so they'll probably call this TD 1 soon enough
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#185 Postby chaser1 » Thu Jun 02, 2022 4:31 pm

Definitely improving in shape and with convection occuring closer to where a center may form. Its definitely lacking a well defined center, and surface pressures seem to confirm this. That could well change this evening but i wouldnt necessarily bet the farm on that. Probably a better shot to deepen once a more prounced NE motion commences.
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#186 Postby kevin » Thu Jun 02, 2022 4:35 pm

The first cone of the Atlantic season:

Image
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#187 Postby CFLHurricane » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:10 pm

8-)
kevin wrote:The first cone of the Atlantic season:

https://i.imgur.com/zecdu7Y.png


This is proving to be an auspicious hurricane season already :oops: Hey CFL peeps, come pile into the cone club! 8-)
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#188 Postby skillz305 » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:20 pm

CFLHurricane wrote:8-)
kevin wrote:The first cone of the Atlantic season:

https://i.imgur.com/zecdu7Y.png


This is proving to be an auspicious hurricane season already :oops: Hey CFL peeps, come pile into the cone club! 8-)


Vero Beach here! Gonna be a nice bit a rain this weekend!
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#189 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:22 pm

Decent little blowup of convection near the center there. I'm thinking we should see TS Alex within the next 24 hours. Won't be anything crazy for FL but a good reminder that hurricane season is here and people need to be prepared for the months ahead.
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#190 Postby underthwx » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:23 pm

Looks like a TD at a minimum on satellite... Yall keep an eye on this my friends in the watch areas
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#191 Postby underthwx » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:24 pm

ElectricStorm wrote:Decent little blowup of convection near the center there. I'm thinking we should see TS Alex within the next 24 hours. Won't be anything crazy for FL but a good reminder that hurricane season is here and people need to be prepared for the months ahead.


Well said... If the season prediction pans out...never too early to prepare
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#192 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:24 pm

Prepare for plenty of rain in South Florida.

Image
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#193 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:29 pm

cycloneye wrote:Prepare for plenty of rain in South Florida.

Image
Pumping water out of the pool tomorrow morning.
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#194 Postby underthwx » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:42 pm

Do any of you foresee PTC1 attaining hurricane status?....This system looks healthy on Satellite.... I appreciate any info
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#195 Postby beachnut » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:47 pm

Well what do you know, that's my home right there under the big S marked 1pm Sat :lol:
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#196 Postby bluespiderfl » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:47 pm

Mother Nature just couldn’t wait to get this season started…

Thank you all in advance for keep discussions going on these storms every year! Stay safe, stay well everyone.
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#197 Postby toad strangler » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:50 pm

underthwx wrote:Do any of you foresee PTC1 attaining hurricane status?....This system looks healthy on Satellite.... I appreciate any info


NO

Classic early season uber sheared TS but will come with some gnarly bands and or storms for those E and SE of the center. Always be mindful of the radar.
Last edited by toad strangler on Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#198 Postby underthwx » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:51 pm

toad strangler wrote:
underthwx wrote:Do any of you foresee PTC1 attaining hurricane status?....This system looks healthy on Satellite.... I appreciate any info


NO

Classic early season uber sheared TS but will come with some gnarly bands and or storms. Always be mindful of the radar.


Thanks TS for the reply...
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#199 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Jun 02, 2022 5:51 pm

underthwx wrote:Do any of you foresee PTC1 attaining hurricane status?....This system looks healthy on Satellite.... I appreciate any info

This shouldn't really have much of a chance to become a hurricane, most likely a typical sheared June TS. Once it gets past FL and into the open Atlantic it might have a chance to get a little stronger but the odds of it becoming a hurricane are very low.
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Re: ATL: ONE - Potential Tropical Cyclone

#200 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jun 02, 2022 6:05 pm

Very clear decoupling of the MLC and LLC on satellite. Strong wind shear hitting this one.
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