hurricane2025 wrote:Will be a rain maker that’s it
Works for me !
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hurricane2025 wrote:Will be a rain maker that’s it
Cpv17 wrote:I think the NHC should raise this to 30% at the next update.
Wampadawg wrote:So,Question this may be a sneaky storm most likely not.We shall see, but what was the most under forecasted storm this close to land in the Gulf,
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Cpv17 wrote:I think the NHC should raise this to 30% at the next update.
At least. Personally, I would go 40% because I think something is going to try to develop. Whether or not it gets there is questionable, but nearly all models show something trying to spin-up at some point.
Wampadawg wrote:https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1541071712581820416?s=21&t=s_AfTHgi37Ximow9afOeqg
Wampadawg wrote:So,Question this may be a sneaky storm most likely not.We shall see, but what was the most under forecasted storm this close to land in the Gulf,
wxman22 wrote:Wampadawg wrote:So,Question this may be a sneaky storm most likely not.We shall see, but what was the most under forecasted storm this close to land in the Gulf,
Imelda is definitely one. I remember the ICON was the only global model that consistently showed Imelda developing at the last minute right before landfall days before she developed.And NO model showed the catastrophic rainfall amounts that occurred.Though the HRRR did sniff out the training feeder band the day before it occurred.Also cant forget Humberto of 2007.
captainbarbossa19 wrote:wxman22 wrote:Wampadawg wrote:So,Question this may be a sneaky storm most likely not.We shall see, but what was the most under forecasted storm this close to land in the Gulf,
Imelda is definitely one. I remember the ICON was the only global model that consistently showed Imelda developing at the last minute right before landfall days before she developed.And NO model showed the catastrophic rainfall amounts that occurred.Though the HRRR did sniff out the training feeder band the day before it occurred.Also cant forget Humberto of 2007.
Yeah both those storms were unpleasant surprises for my area. That's also why I am curious why the chances are so low. These type of systems seem to get going the day before landfall.
wxman22 wrote:Wampadawg wrote:So,Question this may be a sneaky storm most likely not.We shall see, but what was the most under forecasted storm this close to land in the Gulf,
Imelda is definitely one. I remember the ICON was the only global model that consistently showed Imelda developing at the last minute right before landfall days before she developed.And NO model showed the catastrophic rainfall amounts that occurred.Though the HRRR did sniff out the training feeder band the day before it occurred.Also cant forget Humberto of 2007.
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