#242 Postby aspen » Mon Jul 25, 2022 3:02 pm
toad strangler wrote:aspen wrote:Spacecoast wrote:Ran across Univ of Arizona's June updated forecast.
Didn't see it previously posted, so here it is (/was).....
https://i.ibb.co/hDDrmDK/ua.jpg
I was originally surprised at how low UA went compared to every other forecasting agency, but after the last few months, I’m thinking they may end up being the closest to reality.
After the last few months what?
The indicators from the last few months seem to suggest more of a typical above-average season like 2018 (close to the UA forecasts) instead of a hyperactive season close to 1999’s ACE or 2021’s NS count. Or, at least, that’s just what I’ve been getting from it.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.