![cheesy grin :cheesy:](./images/smilies/icon_cheesygrin.gif)
All jokes aside, the Atlantic is really struggling. Instead of 2013 we should probably mention 1992. However, that was the year of Andrew, so it only takes one.
Moderator: S2k Moderators
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Someone forget to flip the switch? I was told it was happening soon.![]()
All jokes aside, the Atlantic is really struggling. Instead of 2013 we should probably mention 1992. However, that was the year of Andrew, so it only takes one.
tolakram wrote:It's August 10th. The season was radically overhyped, as most of us recognized, and we had a CV wave that should not develop threaten to develop in early August. I don't see anything unusual yet but the clock is ticking. We are nearing peak angst.
tolakram wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:Someone forget to flip the switch? I was told it was happening soon.![]()
All jokes aside, the Atlantic is really struggling. Instead of 2013 we should probably mention 1992. However, that was the year of Andrew, so it only takes one.
Why are you comparing this season to an el nino year?
NotSparta wrote:tolakram wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:Someone forget to flip the switch? I was told it was happening soon.![]()
All jokes aside, the Atlantic is really struggling. Instead of 2013 we should probably mention 1992. However, that was the year of Andrew, so it only takes one.
Why are you comparing this season to an el nino year?
Neither 1992 or 2013 were El Nino years. Both cool neutral. I'm confused
InfernoFlameCat wrote:I don’t think this season was overhyped. It’s going to be deadly. While conditions aren’t favorable now, they will be soon. Also, anything that goes over the GOM is going to go bonkers. Shear will stay low there and SSTs are hot.
skyline385 wrote:InfernoFlameCat wrote:I don’t think this season was overhyped. It’s going to be deadly. While conditions aren’t favorable now, they will be soon. Also, anything that goes over the GOM is going to go bonkers. Shear will stay low there and SSTs are hot.
The Gulf and Caribbean are actually currently normal to below normal SST. The Gulf was blazing hot in June but then the warming slowed down and now the SST are near normal.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Someone forget to flip the switch? I was told it was happening soon.![]()
All jokes aside, the Atlantic is really struggling. Instead of 2013 we should probably mention 1992. However, that was the year of Andrew, so it only takes one.
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Someone forget to flip the switch? I was told it was happening soon.![]()
All jokes aside, the Atlantic is really struggling. Instead of 2013 we should probably mention 1992. However, that was the year of Andrew, so it only takes one.
skyline385 wrote:InfernoFlameCat wrote:I don’t think this season was overhyped. It’s going to be deadly. While conditions aren’t favorable now, they will be soon. Also, anything that goes over the GOM is going to go bonkers. Shear will stay low there and SSTs are hot.
The Gulf and Caribbean are actually currently normal to below normal SST. The Gulf was blazing hot in June but then the warming slowed down and now the SST are near normal.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Someone forget to flip the switch? I was told it was happening soon.![]()
DorkyMcDorkface wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:Someone forget to flip the switch? I was told it was happening soon.![]()
All jokes aside, the Atlantic is really struggling. Instead of 2013 we should probably mention 1992. However, that was the year of Andrew, so it only takes one.
This seems a bit premature. This may sound surprising but early August isn't all that active in most years. It usually takes until the third week or so for things to pick up. Again Dr. William Gray of CSU used to have a bell he would ring on the 20th to signal the true start of the climatological peak of the season - we are still 10 days away from that. If models aren't showing anything by then then I would start to express modest concern, but we still have over a week until then. We've seen this situation play out before where models show little to nothing for a while before the operationals and their respective ensemble members start popping off, and that could very well be the case this year. We'll just have to wait and see.
ThomasW wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:Someone forget to flip the switch? I was told it was happening soon.![]()
All jokes aside, the Atlantic is really struggling. Instead of 2013 we should probably mention 1992. However, that was the year of Andrew, so it only takes one.
You know the season's about to underperform hard when people move on to "it only takes one"![]()
That being said, looks like NATL will get lucky this year and escape with a below-average season. Wavebreaking continuing to stifle the MDR with a near-constant pump of dry air and shear, all through 384 hours...not a favorable look. Might see a few "homebrew" type storms. Maybe an Ida type thing. Idk though if the "switchflip" keeps being pushed back in time. At this rate we'll be talking about it in October, just like in 2013.
tolakram wrote:zzh wrote:https://i.imgur.com/VbkvcJe.png
https://i.imgur.com/iXdpaRw.gif
Warmer western subtropics is taking away instability from tropics while a cooler eastern subtropics/Canary Current is transporting dry air into the tropics, decreasing the instability there.
How is that first map derived? Seems to conflict with the NOAA map
https://i.imgur.com/Lkhyd7q.png
Users browsing this forum: Beef Stew, cajungal, Cpv17, Google Adsense [Bot], HurakaYoshi, IcyTundra, jaguars_22, Javlin, JtSmarts, LemieT, lilbump3000, lolitx, NotSparta, sphelps8681, StormWeather, Stormybajan, Tx_Summer, Wampadawg and 106 guests