Low Pressure in the Central Atlantic (Is Invest 91L)

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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#241 Postby sma10 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:47 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:Ridge looks stout so far on the 12z Euro.


This one will likely clear the GA for this run. Question will be if it does the Bahama hook, or plows into the gulf
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#242 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:47 pm

SFLcane wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:Another inching to the west northwest. Will it continue that way towards Florida, or will it jut up north from here.


Seems to be stair stepping...


Yes, we've seen this many times before. Bonnie, Floyd, and Frances are just a few names that come to mind.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#243 Postby skyline385 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:48 pm

982mb above the islands

Image


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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#244 Postby Teban54 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:49 pm

Euro is usually conservative with intensity and rarely forecasts hurricane for something that hasn't formed yet, so this is something.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#245 Postby SFLcane » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:49 pm

skyline385 wrote:982mb above the islands

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220826/8a041fb1514f2cd7216b6bfac4358dd9.jpg


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I got 975mb..
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#246 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:50 pm

Image
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#247 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:50 pm

Ridge big time over the Southeast

Image
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#248 Postby Fancy1001 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:51 pm

Will this finally be the Miami cane we've waited 3 decades for.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#249 Postby skyline385 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:52 pm

Fancy1001 wrote:Will this finally be the Miami cane we've waited 3 decades for.

Who has been waiting 3 decades for a Miami cane? Not me for sure….


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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#250 Postby skyline385 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:53 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:Ridge big time over the Southeast

Image

Yea that’s not looking good


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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#251 Postby Fancy1001 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:53 pm

I'm starting to think the Tampa cane won't come in my lifetime, and I'm only 26 lol.

Charlie was the closest so far.
Last edited by Fancy1001 on Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#252 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:54 pm

Fancy1001 wrote:Will this finally be the Miami cane we've waited 3 decades for.


Hopefully not, and odds are against it. Certainly a different look from the GFS and upper air this far out is not very accurate.

Image
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#253 Postby MHC Tracking » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:55 pm

skyline385 wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:Ridge big time over the Southeast

https://i.imgur.com/6Z55tYW.png

Yea that’s not looking good


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Straight into the Florida strait
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#254 Postby Fancy1001 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:57 pm

Doesn't look like it's heading to the straight.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#255 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:58 pm

Well here is how it ends... Stay tuned for late night model watching tonight to see what happens!!!

Image
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#256 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:58 pm

Not a very pretty picture, that's for sure, but this will change wildly over the coming week.
Image
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#257 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:58 pm

12z EPS is also in the same general area as well!
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#258 Postby AutoPenalti » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:59 pm

Oof. Well, Euro tends to overdo ridging so.. now we wait and see.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#259 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 26, 2022 2:00 pm

500mb height for those that prefer it.

Image
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of the Cabo Verde Islands

#260 Postby Fancy1001 » Fri Aug 26, 2022 2:00 pm

tolakram wrote:Not a very pretty picture, that's for sure, but this will change wildly over the coming week.
https://i.imgur.com/VYAbXGK.png

were would it head if the pattern shown materialized?
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