ATL: EARL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 91, 2022082800, , BEST, 0, 137N, 410W, 20, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 90, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 018, SPAWNINVEST, al792022 to al912022,

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal912022.dat

Thread that was the topic for this system at talking tropics forum.

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 1&t=122896

[Teban54]

This has the potential to be a really, really long thread. And I hope that won't be the case.

[Landy]

Here's to hoping for a safe recurve should anything form. Watching from Daytona Beach...

[GeneratorPower]

Could stop the slow season talk. Hope it’s not too bad.

[SFLcane]

[SFLcane]

Might have a naked swirl out there. Lol

 https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1563694264256692225

[Sciencerocks]

https://i.postimg.cc/2502csFN/9-E60-B86-A-0-C69-4407-88-ED-83-EC4-FEE061-C.png

Buoy to the southeast shows southwesterly winds confirming the ascat from earlier. Wouldn't take much....We will see.

[ElectricStorm]

Yeah this one might be a problem...

[Blown Away]

NHC’s “X” was @14N/42W at 8pm.

For the record, so we remember how it struggled at the beginning. Here we go!!

[SFLcane]

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/cJLNYv1g/82144599.gif [/url]

NHC’s “X” was @14N/42W at 8pm.

For the record, so we remember how it struggled at the beginning. Here we go!!

Let’s see if it holds

[InfernoFlameCat]

I’m getting excited! Finally! Something with real potential!

[Keldeo1997]

Might have a naked swirl out there. Lol

https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1563694264256692225?s=21&t=UQD6ML1k3n8yTqECM5unww

Actually 91L has pretty favorable environment right now with the only thing stopping it is its being stuck in the monsoon trough.

[Iceresistance]

Might have a naked swirl out there. Lol

https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1563694264256692225?s=21&t=UQD6ML1k3n8yTqECM5unww

Actually 91L has pretty favorable environment right now with the only thing stopping it is its being stuck in the monsoon trough.

There is SAL within 91L as well, but 91L is located at the leading edge of a unusually late SAL plume.

[Keldeo1997]

 https://twitter.com/mikefischerwx/status/1563700167437651969

[Iceresistance]

ASCAT Direct hit!


https://s4.gifyu.com/images/ASCAT-direct-hit.png

[tolakram]

Proxi visible

Convection starting to fire near the circulation


https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=17454&y=7682&z=4&angle=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&lat=1&p%5B0%5D=cira_proxy_visible&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6&borders=1

[DorkyMcDorkface]

Makes sense that they've finally given it an invest tag now that we essentially have a single trackable entity instead of the bifurcated structure, although it is still quite sloppy and elongated in nature and thus will take its time developing. Probably won't get going in any appreciable manner until about 55W.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Looks like the center is more elliptical with smaller rotations going around it

[NotSparta]

:flag:

Could stop the slow season talk. Hope it’s not too bad.

On the flipside, if it chokes then it will only accelerate the talk

[Blown Away]

Might be better at the low levels that we thought?