ATL: EARL - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
ATL: EARL - Models
All discussion on 91L with models goes here
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
Keldeo1997
- Category 2
- Posts: 637
- Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2019 11:35 pm
-
ElectricStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 5017
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
- Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
Models are probably going to be all over the place until it actually forms, which will likely take several more days to happen, so I would take them with a grain of salt for now regardless of what they're showing
0 likes
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Boomer Sooner!
Boomer Sooner!
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 19989
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
Modelpalooza, most recent long runs of each model.
Euro
GFS
CMC
UKMET
ICON
JMA
NAVGEM
Euro
GFS
CMC
UKMET
ICON
JMA
NAVGEM
3 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
-
gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23689
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
- Location: Boca Raton, FL
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
The lowly NAVGEM but big shift west from the 12Z crawling north at the end:
2 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
gatorcane wrote:The lowly NAVGEM but big shift west from the 12Z crawling north at the end:
https://i.postimg.cc/3w6QS6Pk/nvg10-sfc10m-240-go-mex.gif
That might be the beginning of a trend west in track. And maybe into the GOM.
0 likes
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143862
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
Strong finish by ICON.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
SouthFLTropics
- Category 5
- Posts: 4236
- Age: 49
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
- Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
Looks to be moving west under a pretty strong ridge also.
3 likes
Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143862
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
Wow, GFS does not develop. It may be tied to the phantom development in NW Caribbean/BOC.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7349
- Age: 44
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
The main problem with the 0zGFS is that it seems to be sprouting a random vortex on the north side of the wave near the islands which could be throwing the run off, let’s see if it models continue to show this or if it’s erroneous . Will have to watch the next few days
0 likes
-
Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7349
- Age: 44
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
cycloneye wrote:Wow, GFS does not develop.
Probably due to random development of a vortex to the north of the current low along the wave keeping this in check this run, could be a random thing the GFS does with random vortices
Last edited by Hurricaneman on Sat Aug 27, 2022 11:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
cycloneye wrote:Wow, GFS does not develop.
Did the GFS just give up or something? Or maybe it's thinking that the SAL will not allow this system from forming at all?
2 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37988
- Age: 36
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
Iceresistance wrote:cycloneye wrote:Wow, GFS does not develop.
Did the GFS just give up or something? Or maybe it's thinking that the SAL will not allow this system from forming at all?
I think it's tied to the Gulf storm which it refuses to give up on and is stronger this run
Last edited by Brent on Sat Aug 27, 2022 11:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
#neversummer
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models
Weaker CMC/GEM run as well, its also slowing down and slightly turning north at the end of the run
1 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 59 guests