ATL: EARL - Models

[sunnyday]

SFlCane, Can you post a visual of or link to the Eps control situation you mentioned about the storm hitting SFl
And then traveling up the state? Thank you

[SFLcane]

SFlCane, Can you post a visual of or link to the Eps control situation you mentioned about the storm hitting SFl
And then traveling up the state? Thank you

Unfortunately I can’t not allowed to post on S2K. Wish I could sorry.

[Spacecoast]

SFlCane, Can you post a visual of or link to the Eps control situation you mentioned about the storm hitting SFl
And then traveling up the state? Thank you

[caneseddy]

SFlCane, Can you post a visual of or link to the Eps control situation you mentioned about the storm hitting SFl
And then traveling up the state? Thank you

https://i.ibb.co/JRFNjjL/cd3f.jpg

That EPS control is no bueno..landfall in Fort Lauderdale, slight dip SW into Miami-Dade then WNW up the spine…

But it’s still 10 days away so many things can change between now and then

[sunnyday]

Thank you for the info. Let’s pray that doesn’t happen.

[Hayabusa]

SFlCane, Can you post a visual of or link to the Eps control situation you mentioned about the storm hitting SFl
And then traveling up the state? Thank you

https://i.ibb.co/JRFNjjL/cd3f.jpg

Here's another plot though it only goes out to 10 days because I only get the free ensemble data , magenta color is the control run while the hi-res run is red

[skyline385]

18Z Euro came in notably stronger

[cycloneye]

[SFLcane]

[cycloneye]

He is desperate to chase.

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1564075804945965057

[AutoPenalti]

So this should start to move NW by Tuesday?

[Keldeo1997]

ICON is the same as the 18z run so far.

[chaser1]

https://i.imgur.com/sqZXQ83.png

Well something ain't quite right. When the shallow BAM is tightly clustered among other models depicting an immediate WNW to NW motion, while 91L flips them the finger while trudging westward Either there's gonna be a nearly immediate reformation to the north tonight, or those models all had some pretty poor initialization.

[Keldeo1997]

Also there is starting to be hints of something around the NE GOM. Noting this since this could affect the Ridge building over Florida. Probably a Phantom though

[Keldeo1997]

Last frame of the ICON heading WNW

[AutoPenalti]

ICON 0z slightly N of 12z

[Keldeo1997]

GFS coming in Stronger though day 3. Also the Fantasycane is much further south and will probably get buried

[SouthFLTropics]

One important observation is that while 91L is coming in stronger earlier on in this run, the GFS may be starting to give up on its Caribbean fantasy. The disturbance off the Yucatan is much weaker.

[skyline385]

GFS seems further north compared to other models.

[AutoPenalti]

Very weird, GFS has this way further north now.