
ATL: EARL - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
06L EARL 220909 1800 34.9N 59.8W ATL 90 954
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
Current sat pic reminds me of Wilma when it moved across the FL peninsula. I eye is large, but more symmetrical than earlier. Now that Earl is accelerating in forward speed, I wonder if his winds might be approaching major status on the right side (due to adding speed of forward motion to winds?)
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
Hurricane is looking very good: it is likely a major now. Solid cold cloud tops rapidly rotating around the eye.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Hurricane is looking very good: it is likely a major now. Solid cold cloud tops rapidly rotating around the eye.
00z Best Track mantains it at 90kts.
AL, 06, 2022091000, , BEST, 0, 371N, 568W, 90, 954, HU
https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal062022.dat
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Hurricane is looking very good: it is likely a major now. Solid cold cloud tops rapidly rotating around the eye.
I saw that, he's the best that he has ever looked!
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
Guessing this is a major now, but who knows if it will ever be classified as such. Even 2022 can produce some beauts
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
storminabox wrote:Guessing this is a major now, but who knows if it will ever be classified as such. Even 2022 can produce some beauts
Doubt they'll go any higher without recon, especially by 10kts
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
Hammy wrote:storminabox wrote:Guessing this is a major now, but who knows if it will ever be classified as such. Even 2022 can produce some beauts
Doubt they'll go any higher without recon, especially by 10kts
Heck if Lorenzo '19 could be a Cat 5, Earl could easily be a 3
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
FireRat wrote:Hammy wrote:storminabox wrote:Guessing this is a major now, but who knows if it will ever be classified as such. Even 2022 can produce some beauts
Doubt they'll go any higher without recon, especially by 10kts
Heck if Lorenzo '19 could be a Cat 5, Earl could easily be a 3
Earl had an actual history of running below satellite estimates.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
I've actually found that there was a similarly named storm (Also Earl) in 1986 that only peaked as a 105 mph CAT 2 and a pressure of 979 MB in the same general location, except that this Earl formed much closer to the Leeward Islands further south, much closer to Bermuda while missing to the east, had a much lower pressure reading, and did not make a weird loop.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
Earl may become the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone ever.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Earl may become the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone ever.
Ever? The largest of the year? More likely. But ever? No, it has to have Gale Force winds at least 1,000 miles across to try to become the largest.
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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Earl may become the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone ever.
One of the larger TCs, yes, but nowhere near Sandy or Igor. It’s longest wind field axis is currently 680 nm (782 miles) across.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Earl may become the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone ever.
It will not come close to Sandy.
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Re: ATL: EARL - Hurricane - Discussion
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