ATL: FIONA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 96, 2022091312, , BEST, 0, 148N, 443W, 15, 1011, DB, 3, 0, 1012, 140, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 025, SPAWNINVEST, al772022 to al962022

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/?C=M;O=D

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal962022.dat

Thread at talking tropics forum that was the topic for this wave.

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopi ... 1&t=122959

[SFLcane]

AL, 96, 2022091312, , BEST, 0, 148N, 443W, 15, 1011, DB, 3, 0, 1012, 140, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 025, SPAWNINVEST, al772022 to al962022

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/?C=M;O=D

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal962022.dat

Right as the convection poofs and Euro drops it. Lol

[BobHarlem]

Convection still a bit of a mess, but re-firing on the NW part.

[SFLcane]

Convection still a bit of a mess, but re-firing on the NW part.

https://i.imgur.com/euvf3qq.gif

That’s old.


https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

[cycloneye]

Latest.

[SFLcane]

FYI, Eps also just about dropped it.

[SFLcane]

Latest.

https://i.imgur.com/0KugMsT.gif

Luis this is updated. Convection has all but collapsed.

[BobHarlem]

Yep a lot of sites using the other datasets are stuck on 8:55UTC, here's a loop with latest

[cycloneye]

There are delays in some satelite outlets. This from Tropical Tidbits=[automated message] GOES data is running behind and images may be delayed.

[aspen]

Typical of invests this year. They just collapse either on satellite imagery or on the models once they’re designated.

If this has any shot down the road, then the HWRF might latch on to it whenever it starts running. Also, the waning convection might just be due to the diurnal cycle, because this flared up like crazy after sunset last night.

[skyline385]

Typical of invests this year. They just collapse either on satellite imagery or on the models once they’re designated.

If this has any shot down the road, then the HWRF might latch on to it whenever it starts running. Also, the waning convection might just be due to the diurnal cycle, because this flared up like crazy after sunset last night.

It had a little burst yesterday (i think because of a ULAC?) to which the 18Z models reacted aggressively and got everyone excited but it has a ton of dry air to it’s west which is slowly killing it and the ridging right now suggests a collision course with Hispaniola which would be the end of it.

 https://twitter.com/osuwxguy/status/1569662418019557377





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[skyline385]

Here’s more bad news for 96L

 https://twitter.com/jacksillin/status/1569678348670095360





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[cycloneye]

The NRL satelite is updating.

[BobHarlem]

Here’s more bad news for 96L

https://twitter.com/jacksillin/status/1569678348670095360?s=46&t=N4y21vB8UkBoHgiDQjMjcQ


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That's an interesting setup, really is going to depend on timing and track though, there's a window where that could actually help outflow, but odds aren't great it'll hit that sweet spot.

[tolakram]

SLIDER https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=16766.3681640625&y=7684.634765625&z=4&angle=0&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=cira_proxy_visible&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6

[DorkyMcDorkface]

Don't expect this to do much until 55-60W or so. Then the question remains whether or not it can gain enough latitude to avoid Hispaniola. And yeah conditions aren't exactly optimal. Lots of question marks surrounding this one. Regardless the Antilles should expect impacts of some sort obviously.

[cycloneye]

Don't expect this to do much until 55-60W or so. Then the question remains whether or not it can gain enough latitude to avoid Hispaniola. And yeah conditions aren't exactly optimal. Lots of question marks surrounding this one. Regardless the Antilles should expect impacts of some sort obviously.

A good deal of rain is expected here in Puerto Rico.

[Blown Away]

Don't expect this to do much until 55-60W or so. Then the question remains whether or not it can gain enough latitude to avoid Hispaniola. And yeah conditions aren't exactly optimal. Lots of question marks surrounding this one. Regardless the Antilles should expect impacts of some sort obviously.

A good deal of rain is expected here in Puerto Rico.

https://i.imgur.com/xiwNirr.jpg

Wow, that is a tremendous amount of rain.

[ElectricStorm]

Ton of questions with this one, but it could end up being interesting down the road. Shouldn't do much in the near term though.

[Blown Away]

Definitely has the look.