Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/HzPYWiE.gif
Definitely has the look.
Tidbits is not updating.
ATL: FIONA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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SFLcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/HzPYWiE.gif
Definitely has the look.
8:55Z is 4:55 or 5am EDT. Those maps aren't updating for some reason. Currently 14:38Z
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
SFLcane wrote:Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/HzPYWiE.gif
Definitely has the look.
Tidbits is not updating.
I know, maybe convection is waning a bit, but the general the low level broad circulation is there and looks pretty good IMO.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
14:10Z
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skyline385
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
Looks like it was building something before the dry air destroyed the core
https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1569688227224879104
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https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1569688227224879104
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
SFLcane wrote:Blown Away wrote:https://i.imgur.com/HzPYWiE.gif
Definitely has the look.
Tidbits is not updating.
Nothing from Weathernerds either.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
skyline385 wrote:Here’s more bad news for 96L
https://twitter.com/jacksillin/status/1569678348670095360?s=46&t=N4y21vB8UkBoHgiDQjMjcQ
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I’m not sure how reliable large-scale model forecasts a week out are when there are multiple recurving typhoons that can alter the downstream pattern, but either way, 96L’s odds of development — or really any deep tropics development for the rest of the year at this rate — are low.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:DorkyMcDorkface wrote:Don't expect this to do much until 55-60W or so. Then the question remains whether or not it can gain enough latitude to avoid Hispaniola. And yeah conditions aren't exactly optimal. Lots of question marks surrounding this one. Regardless the Antilles should expect impacts of some sort obviously.
A good deal of rain is expected here in Puerto Rico.
https://i.imgur.com/xiwNirr.jpg
Fwiw, yesterday's 12Z JMA gave the Virgin Islands to PR 6-7" of rain from this as just a TD! A big reason for that is the very slow movement it predicted once past the Leewards.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:DorkyMcDorkface wrote:Don't expect this to do much until 55-60W or so. Then the question remains whether or not it can gain enough latitude to avoid Hispaniola. And yeah conditions aren't exactly optimal. Lots of question marks surrounding this one. Regardless the Antilles should expect impacts of some sort obviously.
A good deal of rain is expected here in Puerto Rico.
https://i.imgur.com/xiwNirr.jpg
I guess we will get a lot of rain too
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
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SFLcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
SFLcane wrote:cycloneye wrote:https://i.imgur.com/uAsLRog.jpg
Lol that didn’t last long nhc already back peddling.
It was at 30/40 this morning...
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SFLcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
DorkyMcDorkface wrote:SFLcane wrote:cycloneye wrote:https://i.imgur.com/uAsLRog.jpg
Lol that didn’t last long nhc already back peddling.
It was at 30/40 this morning...
Sure, I mean in terms of wording.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
AL, 96, 2022091318, , BEST, 0, 150N, 457W, 20, 1011, DB
https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal962022.dat
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
LarryWx wrote:cycloneye wrote:DorkyMcDorkface wrote:Don't expect this to do much until 55-60W or so. Then the question remains whether or not it can gain enough latitude to avoid Hispaniola. And yeah conditions aren't exactly optimal. Lots of question marks surrounding this one. Regardless the Antilles should expect impacts of some sort obviously.
A good deal of rain is expected here in Puerto Rico.
https://i.imgur.com/xiwNirr.jpg
Fwiw, yesterday's 12Z JMA gave the Virgin Islands to PR 6-7" of rain from this as just a TD! A big reason for that is the very slow movement it predicted once past the Leewards.
Luis,
Today's 12Z JMA, just like yesterday's, gives PR 6-7" of rain from this.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion
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